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North Dakota State vs. Denver Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 5

05 February 2026 By Data Skrive

The North Dakota State Bison (19-5, 9-0 Summit League) are favored by 11.5 points over the Denver Pioneers (10-14, 3-6 Summit League) on February 5, 2026 at Scheels Center. The Bison are flying, having won nine in a row and going 9-1 in their past 10 games. The over/under for the matchup is 159.

In its last matchup on Saturday, North Dakota State earned an 89-84 OT victory against South Dakota. Noah Feddersen totaled 20 points, nine rebounds and zero assists for North Dakota State. Denver's most recent contest on Saturday ended in an 84-82 loss to Omaha. Denver got a team-high 19 points from Zane Nelson in the loss.

North Dakota State vs. Denver Odds and Game Time

  • When: Thursday, February 5, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
  • Where: Scheels Center in Fargo, North Dakota
  • Spread favorite: North Dakota State -11.5
  • Moneyline favorite: North Dakota State -806
  • Moneyline underdog: Denver +549
  • Over/Under: 159 points

How to watch North Dakota State vs. Denver

Betting the Over/Under: North Dakota State vs. Denver

  • Six of North Dakota State's games this season have gone over Thursday's total of 159 points.
  • There have been 16 Denver games that ended with a combined score over 159 points this season.
  • The over/under for the contest of 159 is 5.6 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Bison (81.3 points per game) and the Pioneers (83.3 points per game).
  • The 154.6 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 4.4 fewer than the 159 over/under in this contest.
  • This season the average over/under for North Dakota State's games is 151.7 points, 7.3 fewer than the over/under of 159 set for this contest.
  • The over/under for this game is 8.5 points lower than the average over/under in Denver's games this season of 167.5.
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Betting the Spread: North Dakota State vs. Denver

  • North Dakota State has played 21 games, with 13 wins against the spread.
  • This season, the Bison have just one ATS win in three games as a favorite of 11.5 points or more.
  • Denver has played 21 games, with 12 wins against the spread.
  • So far this season, the Pioneers have been installed as underdogs by an 11.5-point margin or more six times and are 6-0 ATS in those matchups.
  • North Dakota State is 7-0 overall, and 5-2 against the spread, at home.
  • At home, North Dakota State has one win ATS (1-2) as a 11.5-point favorite or more.
  • Denver is 4-9 overall, and 9-3-1 against the spread, on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: North Dakota State vs. Denver

  • This season, North Dakota State has won 14 out of the 16 games, or 87.5%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
  • The Bison have played as a favorite of -806 or more twice this season and won both games.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 89% chance of a victory for North Dakota State.
  • Denver has won in three, or 25%, of the 12 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
  • This year, the Pioneers have won one of five games when listed as at least +549 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Denver has an implied victory probability of 15.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

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