North Carolina vs. Stanford Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 14

The No. 14 North Carolina Tar Heels (14-2, 2-1 ACC) visit the Stanford Cardinal (13-4, 2-2 ACC) at Maples Pavilion, starting at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 14, 2026. The Tar Heels are 3.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 144.5 points.

North Carolina won its last matchup 87-84 against Wake Forest on Saturday. In North Carolina's win, Henri Veesaar led the way with a team-high 25 points (adding nine rebounds and four assists). Stanford's most recent game on Saturday ended in a 70-55 loss to Virginia. Stanford got a team-leading 15 points from Benny Gealer in the loss.

North Carolina vs. Stanford Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, January 14, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Maples Pavilion in Stanford, California
• Spread favorite: North Carolina -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: North Carolina -183
• Moneyline underdog: Stanford +152
• Over/Under: 144.5 points

How to watch North Carolina vs. Stanford

• TV Channel: ACC Network
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: North Carolina vs. Stanford

• This season, North Carolina's games have gone over this matchup's 144.5-point over/under nine times.
• This season, 12 of Stanford's games have finished with a combined score higher than 144.5 points.
• The over/under for the game of 144.5 is 14.1 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Tar Heels (81.7) and Cardinal (76.9).
• The 137.7 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 6.8 fewer than the 144.5 over/under in this contest.
• This season, the average over/under for North Carolina's games is 148.8 points, 4.3 more than the total of 144.5 points set for this contest.
• Stanford's games have an average over/under of 147.6 points this season, 3.1 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: North Carolina vs. Stanford

• In North Carolina's 16 games this season, it has eight wins against the spread.
• The Tar Heels have been favored by 3.5 points or more 12 times this season and are 6-6 ATS in those games.
• In Stanford's 17 games this year, it has nine wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Cardinal have been installed as underdogs by a 3.5-point margin or more four times and are 3-1 ATS in those contests.
• Stanford is 5-6 against the spread, and 8-3 overall, at home.
• This year, as a 3.5-point underdog or greater at home, Stanford is 4-6 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: North Carolina vs. Stanford

• North Carolina has been the moneyline favorite in 12 games this season and picked up the win in all of them.
• The Tar Heels have been at least a -183 moneyline favorite 10 times this season and won each of those games.
• The implied probability of a win from North Carolina, based on the moneyline, is 64.7%.
• Stanford has been a moneyline underdog in five games this season and has come away with the win four times (80%) in those contests.
• The Cardinal have a win-loss record of 2-1 with odds of +152 or worse this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Stanford has a 39.7% chance of walking away with the win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for North Carolina vs. Stanford

• Pick ATS: Stanford (+ 3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (144.5)
  
• Prediction: Stanford 75 - North Carolina 74