North Carolina vs. Miami (FL) Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 10

The No. 11 North Carolina Tar Heels (19-4, 7-3 ACC) visit the Miami Hurricanes (18-5, 7-3 ACC) at Watsco Center, starting at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 10, 2026. The Hurricanes are 1.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's over/under is 156.5.

Their last time out, North Carolina won on Saturday 71-68 over Duke. Caleb Wilson scored a team-best 23 points for North Carolina in the victory. Miami (FL) heads into this matchup on the heels of a 74-68 victory against Boston College on Saturday. Malik Reneau's team-high 23 points paced Miami (FL) in the win.

North Carolina vs. Miami (FL) Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, February 10, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Watsco Center in Coral Gables, Florida
• Spread favorite: North Carolina -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: North Carolina -120
• Moneyline underdog: Miami (FL) -102
• Over/Under: 156.5 points

How to watch North Carolina vs. Miami (FL)

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: North Carolina vs. Miami (FL)

• A total of 10 of North Carolina's games this season have gone over Tuesday's total of 156.5 points.
• This season, 10 games Miami (FL) has played finished with a combined score higher than 156.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 166.8 points per game, 10.3 points more than the over/under of 156.5 for this contest.
• The 140.5 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents combined this season are 16 less than the 156.5-point over/under in this contest.
• This season the average over/under for North Carolina's games is 153.1 points, 3.4 fewer than the over/under of 156.5 set for this contest.
• Miami (FL)'s games have an average over/under of 154.2 points this season, 2.3 fewer points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: North Carolina vs. Miami (FL)

• North Carolina is 12-11-0 against the spread this year.
• The Tar Heels have an against the spread record of 9-9 in their 18 games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more so far this season.
• Miami (FL) is 11-12-0 against the spread this season.
• This season, the Hurricanes have just two against the spread wins in five games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more.
• Miami (FL) is 6-8 against the spread, and 12-2 overall, at home this season.
• At home, as a 1.5-point underdog or more, Miami (FL) is 6-8 ATS.
• North Carolina is 3-3 against the spread, and 3-3 overall, on the road.
• North Carolina has one win ATS (1-2) as 1.5-point favorites or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: North Carolina vs. Miami (FL)

• North Carolina has entered the game as moneyline favorites 17 times this season and won 15, or 88.2%, of those games.
• The Tar Heels have entered 17 games this season favored by -120 or more and are 15-2 in those contests.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that North Carolina has a 54.5% chance to win.
• Miami (FL) has come away with two wins in the five contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• This year, the Hurricanes have won one of four games when listed as at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Miami (FL) has a 50.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for North Carolina vs. Miami (FL)

• Pick ATS: North Carolina (- 1.5)
• Pick OU: Over (156.5)
  
• Prediction: North Carolina 83 - Miami (FL) 76