New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview/Prop Picks
27 September 2022
Time: 7:07 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees 16.830; Toronto 16.410
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Yankees by ½; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Yankees (-102); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-102); Under
As the leader in the AL East, the New York Yankees have a 94-59 record. Last night, however, they were unable to beat the Toronto Blue Jays.
Although their spot in the division isn't in jeopardy yet, it could be soon. They need a dominant win over the Blue Jays tonight to re-establish their spot. If not, the Yankees could see themselves sliding down a slippery slope.
The Toronto Blue Jays have a record of 87-67 and are second in the AL East. They're currently 7.5 games behind the Yankees, which is quite a bit of room to cover. Still, they have a few more games left in this series and could do some damage.
They may not be able to take the division, but they could make the Yankees sweat. That's exactly what they did to them last night.
New York Yankees: Yankees need a dominant win tonight
After winning seven straight games, the Yankees finally lost last night. They took an early lead, going up 2-0 by the end of the second inning. However, the Toronto Blue Jays hit hard in the fourth, tying the game at 2-2.
This game went past the ninth inning and into the 10th, where the Yankees allowed the final run. With that, the Toronto Blue Jays won the first game of the series.
Tonight, the Yankees will start Jameson Taillon, one of their best pitchers. Taillon has a record of 13-5 with a 3.90 ERA. He'll be tasked with slowing down the batters of the Blue Jays.
The Yankees' own batters need to rally back from last night's slump. They went eight innings without scoring a run, which is uncharacteristic. We'd also like to see a big game from Aaron Judge.
Toronto Blue Jays: Blue Jays are sending out Jose Berrios
It's been said many times that pitching can make or break a game. Tonight, the Blue Jays are walking a fine line, with Jose Berrios getting the start. Berrios has a record of 11-6, which is impressive, but he has an ERA of 5.27.
With him on the mound, the Blue Jays could be in a bit of trouble. The good news is they have a strong batting group to back them up today.
As a team, the Blue Jays have a batting average of .261, one of the best in the league. Although they only scored three runs yesterday, we've seen this lineup at its best before.
The only problem tonight is that the Yankees may be able to keep up. It came down to the wire last night, and only a single run decided the game. So, who's the better team to bet on in this one?
New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick
Both the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays have a strong chance of winning this one. The Yankees come in as -102 favorites even after yesterday's loss.
The key for us to choose who to pick is pitching. The Blue Jays starting Berrios could quickly turn into a problem, especially when Aaron Judge is at the plate.
Because of this, we're going to take the New York Yankees on the road in Game 2. They have the stronger pitcher and a much better rotation. The Blue Jays may have the lead at the plate, but the Yankees can definitely keep up.
DunkelIndex Free Pick: New York Yankees -102, UNDER
Prop Picks
NY Yankees (+100) Most Hits
New York is averaging 8.12 hits per 9 innings on offense, which ranks No. 18 in MLB. That average increases to 8.37 hits per 9 innings on the road. Toronto is allowing 8.45 hits per 9 innings on defense, which ranks No. 21 in MLB. That average increases to 8.66 per 9 innings at home.
With Dunkel predicting a New York win by the score of 3-2, take the Yankees (+100) to finish with more hits than the Blue Jays.
Jose Berrios (-150) OVER 4.5 Strikeouts
Berrios is averaging 7.7 strikeouts per 9 innings this season. The Toronto right hander has collected 82 strikeouts in 86.0 innings pitched at home compared to 55 strikeouts in 74.2 innings pitched on the road. New York is averaging 8.56 strikeouts per 9 innings on offense, which ranks No. 16 in MLB. That average increases to 8.69 strikeouts per 9 innings on the road.
With Dunkel predicting the final score staying UNDER the Vegas run total, take Berrios (-150) to finish OVER 4.5 strikeouts against the Yankees.
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