New York Yankees at St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview/Prop Picks
06 August 2022
The New York Yankees have lost three straight games, bringing their record to 70-37. Although they're still at the top of the American League, their lead has diminished.
Following closely behind them is the Houston Astros, who can take the AL with a win. The Yankees have suffered a few significant injuries as well. It's unlikely that 1B Anthony Rizzo makes the game tonight.
The St. Louis Cardinals have a 58-48 record this season and are 33-20 at home. After winning five games in a row, one of the Yankees, the St. Louis Cardinals, are -102 in this game.
With their recent performances, it makes sense that they'd be favored here. The question is, can they capitalize on home-field advantage? More importantly, should you bet on them tonight?
New York Yankees: Domingo German gets the start tonight
This losing streak for the Yankees could get worse with Domingo German on the mound. German's 1-1 record this season isn't concerning, but his 6.39 ERA is.
The Yankees got a quick start against the Cardinals in yesterday's loss, scoring right in the first inning. However, after surrendering two runs in the eighth, they could not bounce back in the ninth.
The good news for the Yankees is that they have a great set of batters to back them up. As a team, the Yankees are hitting .246, ranking 13th in the league.
They've scored the most runs as a team at 570 and have an on-base percentage of .331, ranking second overall. As they head into this game, they'll need all they can get from their batters.
St. Louis Cardinals: A former Yankee will take the mound tonight
The St. Louis Cardinals are sending out former Yankees pitcher Jordan Montgomery. Montgomery has done incredibly well this season, but this is his first start for the Cardinals.
Considering he's facing his former team, he should have some inside information on the group. In his time with the Yankees this year, he went 3-3 with an ERA of 3.69 and threw 97 strikeouts.
The Yankees are pretty good at the plate this season, but the Cardinals are actually a bit better. They have a team average of .252, ranking seventh in the league.
With an on-base percentage of .322, the Cardinals rank sixth overall. With the batting and pitching combination, they have tonight, the choice for us is the Cardinals.
New York Yankees at St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick
The three losses that the Yankees have recently suffered is likely to increase tonight. There are a few main problems we see with New York here.
The first one is having Domingo German on the mound against one of the best batting teams in the league. Aside from that, the Yankees' own batting group is at a disadvantage as they face Montgomery.
The Cardinals have the advantage on the mound, and at the plate, so we'll take them -102. The odds are great here as well, giving you a chance to capitalize on your wager.
We're going with the under here as well, considering the Yankees have scored only three runs in their last two games. The total has also gone under in four of St. Louis' last five games.
DunkelIndex Free Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -102, UNDER
Prop Picks
NY Yankees (-135) UNDER 4.5 Runs
St. Louis is allowing 3.89 runs per 9 innings on defense, which ranks No. 5 in the league. That average decreases to 3.47 runs per 9 innings at home. Scores have gone UNDER in five of the Cardinals’ last seven home games versus the Yankees.
With Dunkel predicting a St. Louis home victory by the score of 4-2, take the Yankees (-135) to finish UNDER their Vegas team total of 4.5 runs against the Cardinals..
Jordan Montgomery (-130) UNDER 2.5 Earned Runs
Montgomery has allowed 47 earned runs in 114.2 innings pitched this season for an ERA of 3.69. The Yankees have been averaging 3.87 runs per 9 innings in their last eight road games, down from their season average of 5.29 runs on the road.
With Dunkel predicting a Cardinals home victory while keeping the Yankees UNDER their Vegas run total, take Montgomery (+120) to finish UNDER 2.5 earned runs allowed against New York.
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