New York Yankees at New York Mets Betting Preview/Prop Picks
26 July 2022
The battle for New York continues as the Yankees face off against the Mets. Leading the AL East, the Yankees have a 66-31 record this season and are 29-19 on the road.
They’re coming off of a 6-0 win over the Baltimore Orioles, so you know morale is high. The question is can their morale lead them against one of the best teams in the league? If so, are they the best pick?
The New York Mets are 59-37 and are first in the NL East. Considering each of these teams leads their respective divisions, this game should be fun to watch. The Mets have run into a bit of a rough patch, losing three of their last five games.
They were able to get back on track with a win over the San Deigo Padres two nights ago. At home, can the Mets pull off an upset tonight?
New York Yankees: Batting and pitching, a lethal combination
There are quite a few things that the Yankees do well, but batting is definitely towards the top. This season the Yankees have scored 520 runs, ranking first in Major League Baseball.
They have a batting average of .246, ranking 12th, and have an on-base percentage of .332, which is second overall. This team can hit and score a ton of runs if you’re not careful.
Along with one of the best batting groups in the league, the Yankees have great pitching. Getting the start tonight is Jordan Montgomery, who is 3-2 this season.
He’s pitched 108.1 innings this season and has an ERA of 3.24. He’s also thrown 88 strikeouts in that time and should do well against the Mets batters. So, are the Yankees a lock for tonight’s game?
New York Mets: Mets will send out a lethal pitcher of their own
The reason why this game isn’t a lock for the Yankees is because of Taijuan Walker. Walker is one of, if not the best, pitcher in the Mets lineup. He has a 7-2 record this season with an ERA of 2.55 over the span of 91.2 innings.
Although he’s had rough games in the past, Walker is a reliable pitcher. Now, the batters in the Mets lineup will have to do their part to win this game.
The Mets have a strong batting group which is led by Pete Alonso. Alonso has hit 25 home runs this season and leads the team in RBIs with 82. Starling Marte leads the group in terms of batting average at .296.
Overall, the Mets have a batting average of .252, ranking seventh in MLB. Their .324 on-base percentage ranks sixth, and they’ve scored 447 runs this season.
New York Yankees at New York Mets Betting Pick
When you take a look at each of the batting groups on these teams, a few things stand out. The Mets lead the Yankees in overall batting average and have a pretty close on-base percentage.
This means that the game will come down to who has the better pitcher. Between the two starters, Taijuan Walker is a clear choice which is why we’ll take the Mets.
The New York Mets come into this game as -108 favorites, technically still underdogs. The Mets also have a 5-2 record against the Yankees in their last seven meetings.
Paired with the Mets at -108, we’ll add the under to our ticket as well. We don’t believe that Walker will allow very many runs tonight.
DunkelIndex Free Pick: New York Mets -108, UNDER
Prop Picks
NY Yankees (+115) UNDER 3.5 Runs
The Mets are allowing 3.83 runs per 9 innings on defense, which ranks No. 4 in the league, with an opposing team BA of .233, which ranks No. 5. Scores have gone UNDER in four of the Mets’ last six games overall.
With Dunkel predicting a Mets victory by the score of 4-3, take the Yankees (+115) to finish UNDER their Vegas team total of 3.5 runs against the Mets.
NY Mets (+105) Most Hits
The Mets are averaging 8.54 hits per 9 innings on offense, which ranks No. 8 in the league. The Mets are allowing 7.75 hits per 9 innings on defense, which ranks No. 5 in the league. That average decreases to 7.50 hits per 9 innings at home.
With Dunkel predicting a Mets home win while holding the Yankees UNDER their Vegas run total, take the Mets (+105) to finish with more hits than the Yankees.
Taijuan Walker (-120) OVER 4.5 Strikeouts
The Yankees are averaging 8.40 strikeouts per 9 innings on offense, which ranks No. 15 in the league. Walker is averaging 7.2 strikeouts per 9 innings (73 Ks in 91.2 IP). That average has increased to 9.94 Ks per 9 innings (21 Ks in 19 IP) in July.
With Dunkel predicting the final score staying UNDER the Vegas total, take Walker (-120) to finish OVER 4.5 strikeouts versus the Yankees.
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