New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels Betting Preview/Prop Picks
29 August 2022
Time: 9:38 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees 15.619; LA Angels 14.699
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Yankees by 1; 7
Vegas Line & Total: NY Yankees (-186); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-186); Under
The New York Yankees still have a hold on the AL East with a 78-50 record. However, the Tampa Bay Rays are closing in and are just eight games behind them.
Considering the Yankees have lost their last two games, we could have a new AL East leader soon. The good news for the Yankees is they're starting a three-game series against the struggling Yankees.
The Los Angeles Angels are 55-73 this season and rank fourth in the AL West. Although they're 26-36 at home, the Angels are coming off of a 3-0 sweep. After sweeping the Toronto Blue Jays, the Angels are set to face another AL East team in the Yankees.
The Yankees are -186 favorites in this game, but could we see an upset here? Let's go over each team before making our pick.
New York Yankees: Frankie Montas gets the nod tonight
Frankie Montas has a record of 4-10 this season but has a strong ERA of 3.84. He's pitched 124.1 innings this season and has thrown 123 strikeouts in that time. In his last three starts, Montas has taken on batters from the Mets, Blue Jays, and Red Sox.
He should fair just fine against the Angels. The question is, will his batters be able to back him up in tonight's game?
The Yankees have the third most runs in the league, scoring 640 so far this season. As a batting group, they have a team average of .241, which ranks 17th.
They have the fourth-best on-base percentage, however, at .325. The one thing the Yankees will need tonight is strong batting, which they have. Led by Aaron Judge, we expect to see a few big plays tonight.
Los Angeles Angels: Jose Suarez set to face the Yankees batters
Although this game will likely be decided by the batters, the pitching battle is important. We've already gone over what Frankie Montas has done; now, let's take a look at Jose Suarez.
Suarez has an ERA of 4.19 with a 4-6 record this season. Over the course of 73 innings, Suarez has thrown 71 strikeouts and allowed 71 hits as well. He should do well against the Yankees to start.
The problem begins when you look at the Angels' batting lineup. Sure, Shohei Ohtani is an incredible hitter, but recently he's carried the team.
This season the Angels have a .228 batting lineup, ranking 28th in Major League Baseball. They have the 26th-ranked on-base percentage at .295 and have scored just 489 runs, ranking 25th. This is where the Yankees have the edge.
New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels Betting Pick
Over their last five games against the Los Angeles Angels, the Yankees are 4-1. With Montas on the mound, we think the Yankees have the better pitcher. Pair that with the fact that they have a better batting lineup, and you get the Yankees as your pick.
The Los Angeles Angels have had a solid string of wins; however, it ends tonight. Suarez will likely do well against the Yankees in the early innings but could falter after that. His batters won't be able to back him up, so we'll also take the under in this game.
DunkelIndex Free Pick: New York Yankees -186, UNDER
Prop Picks
LA Angels (-145) UNDER 3.5 Runs
LA is averaging 3.82 runs per 9 innings on offense, which ranks No. 25 in the league. New York is allowing 3.48 runs per 9 innings on defense, which ranks No. 3 in the league. That average remains relatively steady at 3.67 runs per 9 innings on the road. Scores have gone UNDER in 16 of the Yankees’ last 22 games overall.
With Dunkel predicting a Yankees victory by the score of 4-3, take the Angels (-145) to finish UNDER their Vegas team total of 3.5 runs against New York.
Jose Suarez (+110) UNDER 2.5 Earned Runs
Suarez has allowed 34 earned runs in 73.0 innings pitched this season for an ERA of 4.19. The LA left hander’s ERA has decreased to 2.38 (6 earned runs in 22.2 IP) in the month of August.
With Dunkel predicting the final score staying UNDER the Vegas run total, take Suarez (+110) to finish UNDER 2.5 earned runs allowed versus the Yankees.
Keep up with your latest MLB news coverage at The Dunkel Index.
All Media on this page by Associated Press.
