New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Betting Preview/Prop Picks
10 July 2022
The last game of the entire day is the New York Yankees at the Boston Red Sox. The Yankees, ranking first in the AL East with a 61-24 record, face off against the 46-39 Red Sox. At the moment, the Yankees lead the series at 2-1.
Tonight is the final game of the series, giving the Yankees a chance to win it all 3-1. They'll send out one of their best pitchers to start tonight.
The Red Sox are the second-place team in the AL East and are looking to climb the ladder. They're a sizable game break between the Yankees and Red Sox, so it'll take some work.
Yesterday's 6-5 win over the Yankees puts Boston in the position to tie the series. Prior to yesterday's win, the Red Sox lost four games in a row. Now, they need to start a win streak.
New York Yankees: Taillon gets the nod to start tonight
The New York Yankees aren't only known for great batting but strong pitching. Tonight, they'll send out Jameson Taillon, who has gone 9-2 this season. With an ERA of 3.63 over the course of 89.1 innings, Taillon is in a good position to win this one.
On the road, the Yankees have gone 27-15 this season, which should help them tonight. Still, beating the Red Sox isn't easy.
At the plate, the Yankees have a batting average of .244, ranking 14th overall. An important thing to note is that they rank first in MLB in runs at 444. They also have an on-base percentage of .327, which ranks second in Major League Baseball.
With the combined batting and pitching, the Yankees have a notable advantage over Boston. The question is, can they capitalize on it.
Boston Red Sox: Batting is essential to the Red Sox's chances
The Boston Red Sox is one of the top batting teams in the league. They rank first overall in Major League Baseball with a batting average of .260. The key for them tonight is putting together a few runs to start the game.
If they can get a lead over the Yankees, the Red Sox could win this one. It also depends on what Nick Pivetta does on the mound tonight.
Pivetta has an 8-6 record as a starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.68. Against New York's batters, Pivetta could have a tough time. More importantly, as the game goes on, we'll have to see how the Red Sox's bullpen holds up.
We've seen them struggle late in games before, so keep that in mind. Although this could be a close game, the Yankees seem to have the edge in this one.
New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Betting Pick
This season, the Yankees have a record of 57-23 as the favorite. They come into this game as -131 favorites, although they're on the road and coming off of a loss. The odds here are likely due to Jameson Taillon getting the start.
Along with taking the Yankees at -131, we're also going to add the over as well. The total has gone over in four of the Yankees' last five games. Taking that and the Yankees batters into consideration, the total should go over tonight.
DunkelIndex Free Pick: New York Yankees -131, OVER
Prop Picks
NY Yankees (-120) OVER 4.5 Runs
NY is averaging 5.23 runs per 9 innings on offense, which ranks No. 1 in the league, with a team OPS of .770, which also ranks No. 1. Scores have gone OVER in five of the Yankees’ last seven games versus the Red Sox.
With Dunkel predicting a NY victory by the score of 7-5, take the Yankees (-120) to finish OVER their Vegas team total of 4.5 runs against Boston.
Nick Pivetta (+115) OVER 5.5 Hits Allowed
Pivetta has given up 82 hits in 100.1 innings pitched this season with an opposing BA of .221. The Boston right hander has given up 39 hits 47.2 innings pitched at home with a higher opposing BA of .224.
With Dunkel predicting a Yankees road victory while going OVER their Vegas team run total, take Pivetta (+115) to finish OVER 5.5 hits allowed against NY.
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