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Mets vs. Giants Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - Sept. 4

04 September 2026 By Data Skrive

The New York Mets and San Francisco Giants clash in the first of a three-game series on Friday at Citi Field, at 7:10 p.m. ET. Nolan McLean (10-8, 3.06 ERA) gets the start for the Mets, who are 63-77 this season and fifth in the NL East. Matt Wilkinson (0-2, 4.63 ERA) is the expected starter for the Giants, who are 58-83 and fourth in the NL West.

The sportsbooks have spoken, making the Mets (-191) a moderate moneyline favorite to beat the Giants (+154) at home. The contest has a total set at 7.5.

Mets vs. Giants Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Friday, September 4, 2026
  • Game time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field
  • Favorite: Mets (-191)
  • Underdog: Giants (+154)
  • Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Mets vs. Giants

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Mets vs. Giants: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Mets have won 40 of the 75 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (53.3%).
  • San Francisco has come away with 34 wins in the 92 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • New York has a record of 1-3 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -191 on the moneyline.
  • This year, the Giants have won seven of 16 games when listed as at least +154 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Mets' implied win probability is 65.6%.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Giants have a 39.4% chance of walking away with the win.

Mets vs. Giants: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Mets have played in 140 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 61 times (61-67-12).
  • So far this season, San Francisco and its opponents have hit the over in 65 of its 140 games with a total.
  • The Mets are 64-76-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Giants have an against the spread mark of 70-70-0 in 140 games with a line this season.
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