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Mets vs. Twins Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Prop Bets - April 21

21 April 2026 By Data Skrive

The New York Mets and Minnesota Twins both enter Tuesday's matchup on losing streaks. The Mets have dropped 11 straight, the Twins four in a row. Nolan McLean (1-1, 2.28 ERA) gets the start for the Mets, who are 7-15 this season and fifth in the NL East. Simeon Woods Richardson (0-3, 6.10 ERA) is expected to start for the Twins, who are 11-11 and third in the AL Central.

The Mets are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-163) at home over the Twins (+136). The over/under for this contest is 7.5.

Mets vs. Twins Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Tuesday, April 21, 2026
  • Game time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field
  • Favorite: Mets (-163)
  • Underdog: Twins (+136)
  • Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Mets vs. Twins

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Mets vs. Twins: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Mets have won 35.7% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (5-9).
  • Minnesota has been underdogs in 15 games this season and has come away with the win nine times (60%) in those contests.
  • New York is 1-5 this season when entering a game favored by -163 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Twins have a win-loss record of 3-1 when favored by +136 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Mets have an implied moneyline win probability of 62% in this game.
  • The Twins have an implied victory probability of 42.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mets vs. Twins: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Mets have played in 22 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total nine times (9-11-2).
  • Minnesota's games have gone over the total in 12 of its 22 chances.
  • The Mets have an 8-14-0 record ATS this season (covering just 36.4% of the time).
  • The Twins have an against the spread record of 12-10-0 in 22 games with a line this season.
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