New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Betting Preview/Prop Picks
02 October 2022

Time: 7:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets 15.699; Atlanta 17.894
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta (-131); 7 ½
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-131); Under
The final Sunday Night Baseball matchup of the 2022 season is a good one as the Atlanta Braves are set to host the New York Mets. Atlanta took over first place in the NL East Division with a win on Saturday, and the Braves are looking to sweep the series.
New York got off to a fast start during the 2022 season, and they have been in first place for most of the season. The Mets are still 98-60 on the year, but they are now the team that is trying to catch the Atlanta Braves.
Atlanta is the defending World Series champion, and they are looking for their 100th win of the season in this game. The Braves have won four of their last five games this week, and they are now trying to get some separation between themselves and the Mets.
The Atlanta Braves are the moneyline betting favorites at -128 over the New York Mets in this MLB showdown on Sunday night.
Mets Must Find Offense
If the New York Mets are going to avoid the sweep in this game, then they are going to have to find some offense. New York has scored just four total runs in this series, and they continue to lack power when they are in need of it most.
Pete Alonso leads the way with 40 home runs and 131 RBIs this season, and he will have to go crazy in this game. New York has been able to get clutch hits all season long, but that just hasn’t happened in this series.
Chris Bassitt will be on the mound for New York in this game, and he is 15-8 with a 3.27 ERA on the year. If the Mets aren’t able to score, then they will need Bassitt to come up big in this one and shut down the Braves.
Braves Have Plenty of Power
The Atlanta Braves lead the National League with 239 home runs this season, and they have been showing off this weekend. Atlanta greeted Jacob DeGrom with three home runs on Friday night, and they just continue to come up with big hits.
Austin Riley has turned into an MVP candidate this season as he leads the team with 38 home runs, and Matt Olson has driven in 99 runs. It’s been a great weekend at the plate for the Braves, and that momentum should carry into Sunday night.
Veteran Charlie Morton will be on the mound for the Braves, and he is 9-6 with a 4.29 ERA on the year. As long as Morton delivers a quality start, then the offense should do the rest.
Braves Complete Impressive Sweep
It has been a special year for the New York Mets, but they have just met their match this weekend, and things have not gone well. It took the Braves some time to get going in 2022, but they are now looking like the World Series favorites yet again.
The Mets do appear to have the advantage in the starting pitching matchup in this game, but it’s not going to matter on Sunday night. The Braves come into this game with a ton of momentum on offense, and they are going to find a way to do some damage against Bassitt.
Bet the Atlanta Braves -1.5 as they control the game on Sunday night to complete the three-game sweep over the New York Mets.
Prop Picks
NY Mets (-115) UNDER 3.5 Runs
Atlanta is allowing 3.73 runs per 9 innings on defense, which ranks No. 4 in MLB. That average decreases to 3.49 runs per 9 innings at home. Scores have gone UNDER in six of the Braves’ last seven home games.
With Dunkel predicting an Atlanta win by the score of 4-2, take the Mets (-115) to finish UNDER 3.5 runs scored versus the Braves.
Chris Bassitt (-160) OVER 4.5 Strikeouts
Atlanta is averaging 9.20 strikeouts per 9 innings on offense, which ranks No. 28 in MLB. That average increases to 9.30 strikeouts per 9 innings at home.
With Dunkel predicting the final score staying UNDER the Vegas run total, take Bassitt (-160) to finish OVER 4.5 strikeouts against the Braves.
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