Pelicans vs. Heat Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Feb. 11

The Miami Heat (28-27) face the New Orleans Pelicans (15-40) on February 11, 2026 at Smoothie King Center.

Wednesday's matchup between the Pelicans and the Heat features a tight line of New Orleans -1. The game has a point total of 231.5.

Pelicans vs. Heat Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
• Arena: Smoothie King Center
• Total: 231.5 points
• Spread: Pelicans -1
• Moneyline: Pelicans (-110), Heat (-106)

How to watch Pelicans vs. Heat

• TV Channel: FDSSUN, Gulf Coast Sports, WVUE, Pelicans+

Betting the Over/Under: Pelicans vs. Heat

• In 31 games this season, the Pelicans and their opponents have gone over 231.5 combined points.
• The Heat have combined with their opponents to score more than 231.5 points in 34 of 55 games this season.
• These two teams score 234.2 points per game combined, 2.7 more than this game's total.
• These teams give up 237.7 points per game combined, 6.2 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Pelicans vs. Heat

• New Orleans is 30-24-1 ATS this season.
• The Pelicans are 6-1 ATS this season when playing as at least 1-point favorites.
• The Heat have put together a 31-23-1 ATS record so far this season.
• Miami is 17-10-1 ATS this season when playing as at least 1-point underdogs.
• The Pelicans are 17-11 against the spread, and 9-19 overall, at home.
• At home, New Orleans is unbeaten ATS (5-0) as a 1-point favorite or more.
• The Heat are 17-10-1 against the spread, and 12-16 overall, on the road.
• As 1-point underdogs or more away from home, Miami is 5-2 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Pelicans vs. Heat

• The Pelicans have compiled a 6-1 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 85.7% of those games).
• This season, the Heat have won 12 out of the 28 games, or 42.9%, in which they've been the underdog.
• New Orleans has gone 6-1 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -110 or shorter (winning 85.7%).
• Miami has a record of 12-16, a 42.9% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by -106 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Pelicans a 52.4% chance to win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Pelicans vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Pelicans (- 1)
• Pick OU: Over (231.5)
  
• Prediction: Pelicans 124 - Heat 115
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!