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New Mexico State vs. Missouri State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 22

22 January 2026 By Data Skrive

The New Mexico State Aggies (10-7, 3-4 CUSA) host the Missouri State Bears (10-8, 4-3 CUSA) at Pan American Center, beginning at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 22, 2026. The Aggies are 5.5-point favorites in the game. The over/under is set at 143.5 for the matchup.

New Mexico State is coming off of a 97-68 victory against Delaware in its most recent game on Saturday. Jemel Jones scored a team-best 19 points for New Mexico State in the victory. Missouri State lost its most recent outing 90-87 in OT against Middle Tennessee on Saturday. Keith Palek III put up 20 points, eight rebounds and seven assists for Missouri State.

New Mexico State vs. Missouri State Odds and Game Time

  • When: Thursday, January 22, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
  • Where: Pan American Center in Las Cruces, New Mexico
  • Spread favorite: New Mexico State -5.5
  • Moneyline favorite: New Mexico State -252
  • Moneyline underdog: Missouri State +205
  • Over/Under: 143.5 points

How to watch New Mexico State vs. Missouri State

Betting the Over/Under: New Mexico State vs. Missouri State

  • A total of 11 of New Mexico State's games this season have gone over Thursday's over/under of 143.5 points.
  • This season, seven games Missouri State has played finished with a combined score over 143.5 points.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 153.1 points per game, 9.6 points more than the over/under of 143.5 for this matchup.
  • The 141.2 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents combined this season are 2.3 less than the 143.5-point total in this contest.
  • New Mexico State has seen a 145.6 average over/under in its games this season, 2.1 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
  • The over/under for this contest is 5.2 points lower than the average over/under in Missouri State's games this season of 148.7.
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Betting the Spread: New Mexico State vs. Missouri State

  • New Mexico State has played 14 games, with eight wins against the spread.
  • The Aggies have been favored by 5.5 points or more two times this season and have covered the spread in all of them.
  • Missouri State is 7-8-0 against the spread this year.
  • This year, the Bears have just one ATS win in five games as an underdog of 5.5 points or more.
  • New Mexico State is 4-1 against the spread, and 4-1 overall, at home this year.
  • At home, New Mexico State is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as a 5.5-point favorite or greater.
  • Missouri State has two wins against the spread, and are 1-6 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: New Mexico State vs. Missouri State

  • This season, New Mexico State has been moneyline favorites eight times and won five of those games.
  • The Aggies have played as a favorite of -252 or more twice this season and won both games.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 71.6% chance of a victory for New Mexico State.
  • Missouri State has been victorious in one of the seven contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
  • The Bears have won all of their five games in which they were named as at least a +205 moneyline underdog.
  • Missouri State has an implied victory probability of 32.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

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