New Mexico vs. Nevada Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 24

The New Mexico Lobos (15-4, 6-2 MWC) take on the Nevada Wolf Pack (14-5, 6-2 MWC) as 8.5-point favorites on Saturday, January 24, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET on Fox Sports 1. The matchup has an over/under set at 149.5 points.

New Mexico won its last outing 83-74 against Fresno State on Wednesday. Jake Hall's team-high 16 points led New Mexico in the win. Nevada won its most recent outing 87-54 against San Jose State on Tuesday. In Nevada's win, Corey Camper Jr. led the way with 19 points (adding three rebounds and two assists).

New Mexico vs. Nevada Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, January 24, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: The Pit in Albuquerque, New Mexico
• Spread favorite: New Mexico -8.5
• Moneyline favorite: New Mexico -403
• Moneyline underdog: Nevada +314
• Over/Under: 149.5 points

How to watch New Mexico vs. Nevada

• TV Channel: FOX Sports 1
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: New Mexico vs. Nevada

• New Mexico and its opponents have combined to exceed Saturday's over/under of 149.5 points 11 times this season.
• In Nevada's 19 games this season, five finished with more combined points than Saturday's over/under of 149.5.
• The Lobos average 80.8 points per game against the Wolf Pack's 77.0, amounting to 8.3 points over the game's total of 149.5.
• This matchup's point total is 11.4 fewer points than the 138.1 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• This season the average over/under for New Mexico's games is 148.3 points, 1.2 lower than the over/under of 149.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this game is 1.9 points higher than the average over/under in Nevada's games this season of 147.6.

Betting the Spread: New Mexico vs. Nevada

• New Mexico has played 18 games, with 11 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Lobos have an ATS record of 4-4 in their eight games as a favorite of 8.5 points or more.
• Nevada is 10-9-0 against the spread this season.
• The Wolf Pack have been underdogs by 8.5 points or more once this year and covered the spread.
• At home this season, New Mexico is 10-0 overall and 6-4 against the spread.
• As a 8.5-point favorite or greater at home, New Mexico is 3-4 ATS.
• Nevada is 4-2 overall, and 3-3 against the spread, in away games.
• Nevada is winless ATS (0-1) as 8.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: New Mexico vs. Nevada

• New Mexico has won 11, or 91.7%, of the 12 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Lobos are undefeated in eight games this season when favored by -403 or more on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 80.1% chance of a victory for New Mexico.
• Nevada has been a moneyline underdog in seven games this season and has come away with the win three times (42.9%) in those contests.
• The Wolf Pack have played as an underdog of +314 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Nevada has a 24.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for New Mexico vs. Nevada

• Pick ATS: Nevada (+ 8.5)
• Pick OU: Over (149.5)
  
• Prediction: New Mexico 77 - Nevada 74