New Mexico vs. Fresno State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 21

The New Mexico Lobos (14-4, 5-2 MWC) host the Fresno State Bulldogs (9-9, 3-4 MWC) at The Pit, starting at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 21, 2026. The Lobos are 13.5-point favorites in the game. The over/under for the matchup is set at 145.5.

In its last game on Saturday, New Mexico suffered an 83-79 loss to San Diego State. In New Mexico's loss, Tomislav Buljan led the way with a team-high 20 points (adding 14 rebounds and two assists). In its most recent game on Saturday, Fresno State earned a 63-60 victory over Wyoming. David Douglas Jr.'s team-leading 13 points paced Fresno State in the victory.

New Mexico vs. Fresno State Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: The Pit in Albuquerque, New Mexico
• Spread favorite: New Mexico -13.5
• Moneyline favorite: New Mexico -1351
• Moneyline underdog: Fresno State +805
• Over/Under: 145.5 points

How to watch New Mexico vs. Fresno State

• TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: New Mexico vs. Fresno State

• This season, New Mexico's games have seen a combined score higher than this matchup's 145.5-point over/under 10 times.
• This season, eight games Fresno State has played finished with a combined score higher than 145.5 points.
• The over/under for the matchup of 145.5 is 7.7 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Lobos (80.7 points per game) and the Bulldogs (72.5 points per game).
• The 137.4 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 8.1 fewer than the 145.5 total in this contest.
• On average, New Mexico has seen a 147.8-point over/under in its games this season, 2.3 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• A difference of 2.8 points separates this game's over/under (145.5 points) and the average over/under in Fresno State's games (142.7) this season.

Betting the Spread: New Mexico vs. Fresno State

• In New Mexico's 17 games this year, it has 11 wins against the spread.
• The Lobos are 4-3 ATS when favored by 13.5 points or more this season.
• Fresno State has 10 wins against the spread in 17 games this year.
• This year, the Bulldogs have just one ATS win in three games as an underdog of 13.5 points or more.
• New Mexico is 9-0 overall, and 6-3 against the spread, at home.
• New Mexico is 3-3 ATS as a 13.5-point favorite or more at home.
• On the road, Fresno State has just one win against the spread and are 1-3 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: New Mexico vs. Fresno State

• This season, New Mexico has won 10 out of the 11 games, or 90.9%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Lobos are undefeated in six games this season when favored by -1351 or more on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that New Mexico has a 93.1% chance to win.
• Fresno State has been a moneyline underdog in nine games this season and has come away with the win four times (44.4%) in those contests.
• The Bulldogs have played as an underdog of +805 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Fresno State has an 11% chance of walking away with the win.