New Mexico vs. Boise State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 7

The New Mexico Lobos (18-5, 9-3 MWC) are favored by 5.5 points versus the Boise State Broncos (14-9, 6-6 MWC) on February 7, 2026 at The Pit. The Lobos are flying, going 8-2 in their past 10 games. The matchup has an over/under of 151.5 points.

Their last time out, New Mexico lost 86-66 to Utah State on Wednesday. In the loss, Tomislav Buljan led New Mexico with 17 points. Boise State is coming off of a 91-87 OT victory over Nevada in its most recent outing on Tuesday. Dylan Andrews' team-leading 25 points paced Boise State in the win.

New Mexico vs. Boise State Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 7, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: The Pit in Albuquerque, New Mexico
• Spread favorite: New Mexico -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: New Mexico -252
• Moneyline underdog: Boise State +205
• Over/Under: 151.5 points

How to watch New Mexico vs. Boise State

• TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: New Mexico vs. Boise State

• This season, New Mexico and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's over/under of 151.5 points 11 times.
• Eight of Boise State's games have ended with a combined score over 151.5 points this season.
• The Lobos average 80.9 points per game against the Broncos' 78.7, totaling 8.1 points over the matchup's point total of 151.5.
• These two teams give up a combined 142.2 points per game, 9.3 less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, the over/under in New Mexico's games is 1.8 fewer points than the over/under of 151.5 in this matchup.
• The over/under for this contest is 0.5 points lower than the average over/under in Boise State's games this season (152.0 points).

Betting the Spread: New Mexico vs. Boise State

• Against the spread, New Mexico is 12-10-0 this season.
• This season, the Lobos have an ATS record of 6-6 in their 12 games as a favorite of 5.5 points or more.
• Against the spread, Boise State is 12-10-0 this season.
• The Broncos have covered the spread once this season when underdogs by 5.5 points or more (in two chances).
• New Mexico is 6-6 against the spread, and 11-1 overall, at home.
• At home, as a 5.5-point favorite or greater, New Mexico is 5-5 ATS.
• In away games, Boise State is 3-4 overall and 4-3 against the spread.
• Boise State is unbeaten ATS (1-0) on the road as 5.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: New Mexico vs. Boise State

• New Mexico has been the moneyline favorite in 16 games this season and won 14 (87.5%) of those contests.
• The Lobos are undefeated in 12 games this season when favored by -252 or more on the moneyline.
• New Mexico has a 71.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Boise State has won in two of the seven contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Broncos have played as an underdog of +205 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Boise State has a 32.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for New Mexico vs. Boise State

• Pick ATS: Boise State (+ 5.5)
• Pick OU: Over (151.5)
  
• Prediction: Boise State 80 - New Mexico 79