New Mexico vs. Air Force Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 17

In a matchup featuring one of the struggling teams in college basketball, the Air Force Falcons (3-22, 0-14 MWC) battle the New Mexico Lobos (19-6, 10-4 MWC) at The Pit on February 17, 2026. The Falcons have lost 18 in a row and are 0-10 in their past 10 games. They enter this matchup as underdogs by 28.5 points. The matchup's over/under is 148.5.

New Mexico won its most recent matchup 70-64 against Grand Canyon on Wednesday. Jake Hall scored a team-leading 23 points for New Mexico in the victory. Air Force fell in its last outing 93-63 against Fresno State on Saturday. Lucas Hobin scored 26 points in Air Force's loss, leading the team.

New Mexico vs. Air Force Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, February 17, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: The Pit in Albuquerque, New Mexico
• Spread favorite: New Mexico -28.5
• Moneyline favorite: New Mexico -9091
• Moneyline underdog: Air Force +2317
• Over/Under: 148.5 points

How to watch New Mexico vs. Air Force

• TV Channel: MW Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: New Mexico vs. Air Force

• A total of 16 of New Mexico's games this season have gone over Tuesday's total of 148.5 points.
• This season, five games Air Force has played finished with a combined score higher than 148.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 142.2 points per game, 6.3 points fewer than the over/under of 148.5 for this contest.
• Together, the two teams combine to allow 148.5 points per game, matching the point total for this contest.
• New Mexico has a 150.3 average over/under in its games this season, 1.8 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Air Force's games have an average over/under of 140.4 points this season, 8.1 fewer points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: New Mexico vs. Air Force

• New Mexico has 13 wins against the spread in 24 games this season.
• In Air Force's 25 games this season, it has eight wins against the spread.
• New Mexico is 6-7 against the spread, and 11-2 overall, at home this season.
• This season away from home, Air Force is 3-6 against the spread and 0-9 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: New Mexico vs. Air Force

• New Mexico has won 14, or 82.4%, of the 17 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Lobos have played as a favorite of -9091 or more once this season and won that game.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that New Mexico has a 98.9% chance to win.
• Air Force has won in one, or 4.3%, of the 23 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Falcons have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +2317 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• Air Force has an implied victory probability of 4.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for New Mexico vs. Air Force

• Pick ATS: New Mexico (- 28.5)
• Pick OU: Over (148.5)
  
• Prediction: New Mexico 93 - Air Force 62