Nevada vs. San Diego State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 6

The Nevada Wolf Pack (11-3, 3-0 MWC) host the San Diego State Aztecs (9-4, 3-0 MWC) at Lawlor Events Center, starting at 11 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 6, 2026. The Wolf Pack are 1.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 142.5 points.

Nevada won its most recent game 66-65 against Fresno State on Saturday. Tyler Rolison's team-high 16 points led Nevada in the victory. San Diego State enters this contest after a 110-107 win over Boise State in overtime on Saturday. BJ Davis scored a team-best 22 points for San Diego State in the win.

Nevada vs. San Diego State Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, January 6, 2026 at 11 p.m. ET
• Where: Lawlor Events Center in Reno, Nevada
• Spread favorite: Nevada -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Nevada -129
• Moneyline underdog: San Diego State +107
• Over/Under: 142.5 points

How to watch Nevada vs. San Diego State

• TV Channel: FOX Sports 1
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Nevada vs. San Diego State

• This season, nine of Nevada's 14 games have gone over Tuesday's over/under of 142.5 points.
• There have been eight San Diego State games that finished with a combined score over 142.5 points this season.
• The total for the matchup of 142.5 is 18.2 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Wolf Pack (76.6 points per game) and the Aztecs (84.1 points per game).
• This game's point total is 3.4 fewer points than the 145.9 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• Nevada has seen a 147.7 average over/under in its games this season, 5.2 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
• San Diego State's games have an average over/under of 158.8 points this season, 16.3 more points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Nevada vs. San Diego State

• Against the spread, Nevada is 7-7-0 this year.
• The Wolf Pack have been favored by 1.5 points or more nine times this season and are 4-5 ATS in those contests.
• San Diego State has played 12 games, with five wins against the spread.
• This year, the Aztecs have just one ATS win in four games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more.
• Nevada is 7-1 overall, and 4-4 against the spread, at home.
• At home, as a 1.5-point favorite or greater, Nevada is 3-4 ATS.
• San Diego State is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 1.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Nevada vs. San Diego State

• Nevada has been the moneyline favorite in nine games this season and won eight (88.9%) of those contests.
• The Wolf Pack have a record of 8-1, a 88.9% win rate, when favored by -129 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Nevada has a 56.3% chance to win.
• San Diego State has won in one of the four contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Aztecs have a win-loss record of 1-3 with odds of +107 or worse this year.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that San Diego State has a 48.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Nevada vs. San Diego State

• Pick ATS: San Diego State (+ 1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (142.5)
  
• Prediction: San Diego State 68 - Nevada 65