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NC State vs. SMU Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 3

03 February 2026 By Data Skrive

The NC State Wolfpack (16-6, 7-2 ACC) face the SMU Mustangs (15-6, 4-4 ACC) on February 3, 2026 at Moody Coliseum. The Wolfpack are favorites by 1.5 points as they enter the matchup winners of four in a row and are 8-2 in their last 10 games. The matchup's over/under is 161.5.

NC State took care of business in its last outing 96-78 against Wake Forest on Saturday. Paul McNeil's team-leading 28 points paced NC State in the victory. SMU enters this contest after an 88-74 loss to Louisville on Saturday. Kevin Miller scored a team-best 20 points for SMU in the loss.

NC State vs. SMU Odds and Game Time

  • When: Tuesday, February 3, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
  • Where: Moody Coliseum in Dallas, Texas
  • Spread favorite: NC State -1.5
  • Moneyline favorite: NC State -141
  • Moneyline underdog: SMU +118
  • Over/Under: 161.5 points

How to watch NC State vs. SMU

Betting the Over/Under: NC State vs. SMU

  • This season, eight of NC State's 22 games have gone over Tuesday's total of 161.5 points.
  • In SMU's 21 games this season, 14 finished with more combined points than Tuesday's over/under of 161.5.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 172.5 points per game, 11.0 points more than the over/under of 161.5 for this contest.
  • These two teams surrender a combined 149.5 points per game, 12.0 points less than this contest's over/under.
  • This season the average over/under for NC State's games is 157.9 points, 3.6 fewer than the over/under of 161.5 set for this contest.
  • SMU's games have an average over/under of 164.1 points this season, 2.6 more points than the over/under for this game.
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Betting the Spread: NC State vs. SMU

  • Against the spread, NC State is 13-9-0 this year.
  • This season, the Wolfpack have an against-the-spread record of 12-8 in their 20 games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more.
  • In SMU's 21 games this year, it has nine wins against the spread.
  • The Mustangs have an against the spread record of 3-4-1 in their eight games when underdogs by 1.5 points or more this year.
  • SMU is 5-8 against the spread, and 12-1 overall, at home.
  • At home, SMU is 4-7 ATS as a 1.5-point underdog or more.
  • In away games, NC State is 4-2 against the spread, and 5-1 overall.
  • NC State is 3-1 ATS as 1.5-point favorites or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: NC State vs. SMU

  • NC State has entered the game as moneyline favorites 20 times this season and won 15, or 75%, of those games.
  • This season, the Wolfpack have won 15 of their 18 games, or 83.3%, when favored by at least -141 on the moneyline.
  • NC State has a 58.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • SMU has won in two of the eight contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
  • This season, the Mustangs have been a moneyline underdog of -141 or more four times, losing every contest.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that SMU has a 45.9% chance of pulling out a win.

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