NC State vs. North Carolina Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 17

The NC State Wolfpack (18-8, 9-4 ACC) take the court against the No. 16 North Carolina Tar Heels (20-5, 8-4 ACC) as 7.5-point favorites on Tuesday, February 17, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN. The point total in the matchup is set at 158.5.

Their last time out, NC State lost 77-76 to Miami (FL) on Saturday. Ven-Allen Lubin's team-high 17 points paced NC State in the loss. North Carolina's most recent outing on Saturday ended in a 79-65 victory against Pittsburgh. Seth Trimble's team-high 19 points paced North Carolina in the victory.

NC State vs. North Carolina Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, February 17, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Lenovo Center in Raleigh, North Carolina
• Spread favorite: NC State -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: NC State -324
• Moneyline underdog: North Carolina +258
• Over/Under: 158.5 points

How to watch NC State vs. North Carolina

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: NC State vs. North Carolina

• This season, NC State's games have gone over this game's 158.5-point over/under 11 times.
• This season, 10 games North Carolina has played finished with a combined score higher than 158.5 points.
• The total for the contest of 158.5 is 8.3 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Wolfpack (85.0) and Tar Heels (81.8).
• The 144.8 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 13.7 less than the 158.5-point over/under in this contest.
• On average, NC State has seen a 159.3-point over/under in its games this season, 0.8 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• North Carolina's games have an average over/under of 152.2 points this season, 6.3 points lower than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: NC State vs. North Carolina

• NC State has 13 wins against the spread in 26 games this season.
• This season, the Wolfpack have an ATS record of 7-6 in their 13 games as a favorite of 7.5 points or more.
• North Carolina is 13-12-0 against the spread this season.
• At home this season, NC State is 7-7 against the spread and 10-4 overall.
• NC State is 7-4 ATS as a 7.5-point favorite or more at home.
• Away from home, North Carolina is 3-4 overall and 3-4 against the spread.
• North Carolina is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 7.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: NC State vs. North Carolina

• This season, NC State has been moneyline favorites 23 times and won 17, or 73.9%, of those games.
• The Wolfpack are 11-2 this season when entering a game favored by -324 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 76.4% chance of a victory for NC State.
• North Carolina has been a moneyline underdog in five games this season and has come away with the win three times (60%) in those contests.
• The Tar Heels have yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +258.
• North Carolina has an implied victory probability of 27.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.