Murray State vs. Illinois State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 28

The Murray State Racers (16-5, 8-2 MVC) host the Illinois State Redbirds (14-7, 6-4 MVC) at CFSB Center, beginning at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 28, 2026. The Racers are 4.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup's point total is 159.5.

Murray State enters this matchup after an 81-76 loss to Northern Iowa on Saturday. Roman Domon's team-high 29 points paced Murray State in the losing effort. Illinois State heads into this game on the heels of an 80-69 loss to Belmont on Saturday. Johnny Kinziger's team-high 13 points paced Illinois State in the losing effort.

Murray State vs. Illinois State Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: CFSB Center in Murray, Kentucky
• Spread favorite: Murray State -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Murray State -215
• Moneyline underdog: Illinois State +176
• Over/Under: 159.5 points

How to watch Murray State vs. Illinois State

• TV Channel: KMOV - MyNet St. Louis
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Murray State vs. Illinois State

• Murray State and its opponents have combined to hit the over on Wednesday's over/under of 159.5 points 12 times this season.
• This season, four games Illinois State has played finished with a combined score higher than 159.5 points.
• The total for the contest of 159.5 is 5.6 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Racers (87.3) and Redbirds (77.8).
• This matchup's point total is 13.9 fewer points than the 145.6 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• Murray State has a 165.9 average over/under in its games this season, 6.4 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• A difference of 14.6 points separates this game's over/under (159.5 points) and the average over/under in Illinois State's games (144.9) this season.

Betting the Spread: Murray State vs. Illinois State

• In Murray State's 21 games this year, it has 12 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Racers have an against-the-spread record of 10-6 in their 16 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or more.
• Illinois State has 11 wins against the spread in 20 games this season.
• This year, the Redbirds have just one ATS win in three games as an underdog of 4.5 points or more.
• Murray State is 7-3 against the spread, and 10-0 overall, at home.
• This year, as a 4.5-point favorite or greater at home, Murray State is 7-3 ATS.
• Illinois State has two wins against the spread, and are 3-4 overall, away from home.
• Away from home, Illinois State is winless ATS (0-3) as 4.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Murray State vs. Illinois State

• Murray State has been the moneyline favorite in 16 games this season and won 13 (81.2%) of those contests.
• The Racers have a record of 13-1 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -215 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 68.3% chance of a victory for Murray State.
• Illinois State has been victorious in one of the five contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Redbirds have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +176 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Illinois State has a 36.2% chance of walking away with the win.