Montana State vs. Sacramento State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 29

The Montana State Bobcats (13-8, 7-1 Big Sky) are favored by 4.5 points versus the Sacramento State Hornets (6-13, 2-5 Big Sky) on January 29, 2026 at Hornet Pavilion. The Bobcats are flying, having won four in a row and going 8-2 in their past 10 games. The over/under for the matchup is 152.5.

Last time out, Montana State won on Saturday 91-88 over Weber State. In the win, Jed Miller paced Montana State with 27 points. Sacramento State's last contest was a 75-67 loss to Eastern Washington on Saturday. Mark Lavrenov's team-leading 26 points paced Sacramento State in the loss.

Montana State vs. Sacramento State Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, January 29, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Hornet Pavilion in Sacramento, California
• Spread favorite: Montana State -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Montana State -300
• Moneyline underdog: Sacramento State +240
• Over/Under: 152.5 points

How to watch Montana State vs. Sacramento State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Montana State vs. Sacramento State

• This season, seven of Montana State's 18 games have gone over Thursday's over/under of 152.5 points.
• A total of 10 of Sacramento State's games have ended with a combined score over 152.5 points this season.
• The total for the game of 152.5 is 4.1 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Bobcats (79.1) and Hornets (77.5).
• This game's point total is 0.4 fewer points than the 152.9 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• This season the average over/under for Montana State's games is 149.8 points, 2.7 fewer than the over/under of 152.5 set for this contest.
• A difference of 7.2 points separates the average over/under in Sacramento State's games (159.7 points) and this contest's over/under (152.5).

Betting the Spread: Montana State vs. Sacramento State

• Against the spread, Montana State is 12-6-0 this year.
• The Bobcats have been favored by 4.5 points or more six times this season and have covered the spread in two of them.
• Sacramento State has seven wins against the spread in 17 games this season.
• The Hornets have been underdogs by 4.5 points or more 14 times this year and are 6-8 ATS in those games.
• At home this year, Sacramento State is 4-1 overall and 3-2 against the spread.
• Sacramento State is winless ATS (0-2) as a 4.5-point underdog or more at home.
• Montana State is 4-7 overall, and 8-3 against the spread, on the road.
• Montana State is winless ATS (0-1) as 4.5-point favorites or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Montana State vs. Sacramento State

• This season, Montana State has won nine out of the 11 games, or 81.8%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Bobcats have a record of 2-1 when favored by -300 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• Montana State has a 75% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Sacramento State has come away with one win in the 14 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Hornets have a mark of 1-10 in contests where bookmakers give them odds of +240 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sacramento State has an implied victory probability of 29.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.