Montana vs. Sacramento State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 31

The Montana Grizzlies (13-9, 7-2 Big Sky) visit the Sacramento State Hornets (7-13, 3-5 Big Sky) at Hornet Pavilion, beginning at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 31, 2026. The Hornets are 3.5-point underdogs in the game. The over/under in the matchup is 155.5.

Montana is coming off of a 64-60 victory against Portland State in its last outing on Thursday. In Montana's win, Money Williams led the way with a team-high 24 points (adding two rebounds and two assists). In its last matchup on Thursday, Sacramento State claimed an 83-80 win over Montana State. Prophet Johnson scored 27 points in Sacramento State's victory, leading the team.

Montana vs. Sacramento State Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, January 31, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Hornet Pavilion in Sacramento, California
• Spread favorite: Montana -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: Montana -164
• Moneyline underdog: Sacramento State +138
• Over/Under: 155.5 points

How to watch Montana vs. Sacramento State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Montana vs. Sacramento State

• This season, Montana's games have hit the over on this matchup's 155.5-point total seven times.
• There have been 11 Sacramento State games that finished with a combined score higher than 155.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 156.9 points per game, 1.4 points more than the total of 155.5 for this matchup.
• These two teams give up a combined 154.3 points per game, 1.2 points less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, the over/under in Montana's games is 4.2 fewer points than the over/under of 155.5 in this matchup.
• Sacramento State's games have an average over/under of 159.9 points this season, 4.4 more points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Montana vs. Sacramento State

• Against the spread, Montana is 11-7-0 this season.
• So far this season, the Grizzlies have been installed as favorites by a 3.5-point margin or more nine times and are 5-4 ATS in those matchups.
• Sacramento State has eight wins against the spread in 18 games this season.
• So far this season, the Hornets have been installed as underdogs by a 3.5-point margin or more 15 times and are 7-8 ATS in those games.
• Sacramento State is 4-2 against the spread, and 5-1 overall, at home this year.
• Sacramento State has one win ATS (1-2) as a 3.5-point underdog or more at home.
• This season on the road, Montana is 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall.
• Montana has one win ATS (1-1) away from home as 3.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Montana vs. Sacramento State

• Montana has entered the game as moneyline favorites nine times this season and won six of those games.
• This season, the Grizzlies have won six of their nine games, or 66.7%, when favored by at least -164 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Montana, based on the moneyline, is 62.1%.
• Sacramento State has been a moneyline underdog in 15 games this season and has come away with the win two times (13.3%) in those contests.
• This season, the Hornets have been victorious two times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +138 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sacramento State has an implied victory probability of 42% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Montana vs. Sacramento State

• Pick ATS: Montana (- 3.5)
• Pick OU: Under (155.5)
  
• Prediction: Montana 80 - Sacramento State 71