Missouri vs. Texas Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 14

The Missouri Tigers (17-7, 7-4 SEC) host the Texas Longhorns (15-9, 6-5 SEC) at Mizzou Arena, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 14, 2026. The Longhorns are 1.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 153 points.

In its most recent outing on Wednesday, Missouri earned an 86-85 win over Texas A&M. In Missouri's win, Trent Pierce led the way with a team-high 23 points (adding nine rebounds and two assists). Texas took care of business in its most recent game 79-68 against Ole Miss on Saturday. In Texas' win, Matas Vokietaitis led the way with 27 points (adding seven rebounds and one assist).

Missouri vs. Texas Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 14, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Mizzou Arena in Columbia, Missouri
• Spread favorite: Missouri -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Missouri -121
• Moneyline underdog: Texas -101
• Over/Under: 153 points

How to watch Missouri vs. Texas

• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Missouri vs. Texas

• This season, Missouri and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's over/under of 153 points 12 times.
• This season, 15 of Texas' games have finished with a combined score higher than 153 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 165.7 points per game, 12.7 points more than the point total of 153 for this contest.
• The 148.5 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents combined this season are 4.5 less than the 153-point over/under in this contest.
• This season, the average over/under for Missouri's games is 154.4 points, 1.4 more than the total of 153 points set for this contest.
• Texas' games have an average over/under of 159.8 points this season, 6.8 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Missouri vs. Texas

• Against the spread, Missouri is 10-14-0 this year.
• So far this season, the Tigers have been installed as favorites by a 1.5-point margin or more 15 times and are 6-9 ATS in those games.
• Against the spread, Texas is 15-9-0 this season.
• The Longhorns have been underdogs by 1.5 points or more eight times this year and are 6-2 ATS in those matchups.
• Missouri is 13-1 overall, and 6-8 against the spread, at home.
• As a 1.5-point favorite or more at home, Missouri is 4-8 ATS.
• On the road, Texas is 5-1 against the spread, and 2-4 overall.
• Texas is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 1.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Missouri vs. Texas

• This season, Missouri has been moneyline favorites 15 times and won 13, or 86.7%, of those games.
• The Tigers are 13-1 this season when entering a game favored by -121 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Missouri, based on the moneyline, is 54.8%.
• Texas has won in three of the eight contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Longhorns have a mark of 3-5 in contests where oddsmakers give them odds of -101 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Texas has a 50.2% chance of walking away with the win.