Timberwolves vs. Heat Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Jan. 6

The Miami Heat (20-16) face the Minnesota Timberwolves (23-13) on January 6, 2026 at Target Center.

Minnesota is a 4.5-point favorite against Miami when the Timberwolves face off against the Heat on Tuesday. The over/under is 238.5 points for the game.

Timberwolves vs. Heat Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Tuesday, January 6, 2026
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Arena: Target Center
• Total: 238.5 points
• Spread: Timberwolves -4.5
• Moneyline: Timberwolves (-172), Heat (+144)

How to watch Timberwolves vs. Heat

• TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Kansas City
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Timberwolves vs. Heat

• In nine games this season, the Timberwolves and their opponents have gone over 238.5 combined points.
• The Heat have combined with their opponent to score more than 238.5 points in 18 of 36 games this season.
• These teams score a combined 240.4 points per game, 1.9 more points than this matchup's over/under.
• Opponents of these teams combine to average 231.9 points per game, 6.6 fewer points than this contest's total.

Betting the Spread: Timberwolves vs. Heat

• Minnesota has won 15 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 21 times.
• The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 11-16 when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites this season.
• The Heat have put together a 21-14-1 record against the spread this season.
• When playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs this year, Miami has an ATS record of 6-4-1.
• The Timberwolves are 7-11 against the spread, and 12-6 overall, at home this year.
• As a 4.5-point favorite or more at home, Minnesota is 6-9 ATS.
• The Heat are 10-6-1 against the spread, and 7-10 overall, on the road.
• Miami has one win ATS (1-1) on the road as 4.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Timberwolves vs. Heat

• The Timberwolves have won 72.4% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (21-8).
• This season, the Heat have been the underdog 20 times and won 10, or 50%, of those games.
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -172 or shorter, Minnesota has a record of 20-7 (74.1% win percentage).
• This season, Miami has won three of its 11 games, or 27.3%, when it is the underdog by at least +144 on the moneyline.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Timberwolves have an implied win probability of 63.2%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Timberwolves vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 4.5)
• Pick OU: Over (238.5)
  
• Prediction: Timberwolves 122 - Heat 121
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!