Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics Game 7 Betting Preview/Prop Picks

We're at the final game of the Eastern Conference Semifinals. The Milwaukee Bucks lost Game 6, where they could've closed the door on the Celtics.

Now, they have to travel to Boston and face the Celtics on their home court. With Khris Middleton out, the Bucks are going to have to find a way to create offense. If they can't, the Celtics will likely walk away with this series.

Boston has a lot on its plate right now; task number one is to stop Giannis Antetokounmpo. If they can pull that off, they'll be in good shape to win tonight. Their defense has been remarkable during this series, which is how they tied the series.

Now, with only one game left, the Celtics need one more to push them into the Eastern Conference Finals. So, who's the best bet?

Milwaukee Bucks: Offensive struggles will be why they lose

Perhaps the Bucks need Khris Middleton a lot more than they originally thought. Milwaukee was a team that averaged 114.42 points during the regular season.

However, through this series, they've taken a massive step back, averaging just 100.5. With such an offensive decline, it'll be hard for the Bucks to win on the road tonight. Especially after their 108-95 loss in Game 6.

In order to claim Game 7, players from the Milwaukee bench and the starting lineup need to step up. Jrue Holiday has played well, but it's going to take more than just him and Giannis to win this game.

Wesley Matthews, who is only averaging eight points per game as a starter, is holding them back. Against Boston's defense, eight points from a starter arent enough.

Boston Celtics: Same game plan as always, lockdown defense

There are two teams that are eerily similar during the NBA Playoffs. The Boston Celtics and the Dallas Mavericks. Although they're both in separate conferences, these teams are a lot alike.

Both the Celtics and Mavericks use their defense as the leading factor in games. The Celtics have found a way to reduce one of the best offenses during the regular season to 100.5 ppg.

The Celtics are only doing slightly better, averaging 105.00 points per game. Still, playing slightly better offensively has led them to win three games.

Now, they've returned home after claiming a huge win on the road. With Al Horford and Jayson Tatum leading the team, the Celtics look revitalized. This newfound energy will likely lead them to a victory tonight.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Boston Celtics Betting Pick

With the Bucks' struggles on offense, we don't see them winning this game tonight. However, we have to consider that they come in as five-point spread underdogs. Most of these games have stayed pretty close, so we think Milwaukee +5 is the best bet here. 

In terms of betting on the total, the most likely outcome is that the total will go under. Through six games of the series, the total has gone under four times. Boston's defense has shut down the Bucks multiple times and likely will again today.

Take the Bucks +5 and pair it with the under. 

DunkelIndex Free Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +5, UNDER

Prop Picks

Boston (-120) UNDER 105.5 Points

Boston is averaging 111.8 points per game on offense, which ranks No. 12 in the league. That average decreases to 110.3 points per game at home. Scores have gone UNDER in five of Boston’s last seven games overall.

With Dunkel predicting a Boston victory by the score of 103-101, take the Celtics (-120) to finish UNDER their Vegas team total of 105.5 points against the Bucks.

Grant Williams (-125) UNDER 6.5 Points

Williams averaged 7.8 points per game in 77 games during the regular season, which ranked No. 10 on the Celtics. That average decreased to 7.4 points per game at home.

With Dunkel predicting a Boston home win with the team point total staying UNDER the Vegas total, take Williams (-125) to finish UNDER his Vegas point total of 6.5 points against Milwaukee.

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