Michigan State vs. USC Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 5

The No. 12 Michigan State Spartans (12-2, 2-1 Big Ten) host the USC Trojans (12-2, 1-2 Big Ten) at Jack Breslin Students Events Center, tipping off at 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, January 5, 2026. The Spartans are 10.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup's point total is 150.5.

In its last matchup on Friday, Michigan State suffered a 58-56 loss to Nebraska. In Michigan State's loss, Jaxon Kohler led the way with a team-high 19 points (adding 11 rebounds and one assist). USC's most recent outing on Friday ended in a 96-66 loss to Michigan. Jaden Brownell scored a team-best 16 points for USC in the loss.

Michigan State vs. USC Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, January 5, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Jack Breslin Students Events Center in East Lansing, Michigan
• Spread favorite: Michigan State -10.5
• Moneyline favorite: Michigan State -662
• Moneyline underdog: USC +476
• Over/Under: 150.5 points

How to watch Michigan State vs. USC

• TV Channel: FOX Sports 1
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Michigan State vs. USC

• Michigan State and its opponents have combined to score more than 150.5 points in a game just twice this season.
• This season, 11 games USC has played finished with a combined score higher than 150.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 166.7 points per game, 16.2 points more than the point total of 150.5 for this matchup.
• The 142.2 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents on average this season are 8.3 fewer than the 150.5 over/under in this contest.
• This season the average over/under for Michigan State's games is 144.4 points, 6.1 fewer than the over/under of 150.5 set for this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 14 points lower than the average over/under in USC's games this season of 164.5.

Betting the Spread: Michigan State vs. USC

• In Michigan State's 14 games this year, it has seven wins against the spread.
• The Spartans have covered the spread twice this season when favored by 10.5 points or more (in eight chances).
• Against the spread, USC is 6-7-0 this season.
• This year, the Trojans are winless against the spread when entering a game as an underdog of 10.5 points or more.
• Michigan State is 3-5 against the spread, and 7-1 overall, at home this year.
• At home, Michigan State has one win ATS (1-4) as a 10.5-point favorite or greater.
• Away from home, USC has just one win against the spread and are 2-1 overall.
• Away from home, USC is winless ATS (0-1) as 10.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Michigan State vs. USC

• This season, Michigan State has been listed as the moneyline favorite in 11 games and won them all.
• The Spartans are undefeated in eight games this season when favored by -662 or more on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 86.9% chance of a victory for Michigan State.
• USC was defeated in the one game it played as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Trojans have played as an underdog of +476 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that USC has a 17.4% chance of pulling out a win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Michigan State vs. USC

• Pick ATS: Michigan State (- 10.5)
• Pick OU: Under (150.5)
  
• Prediction: Michigan State 81 - USC 62