Michigan State vs. Minnesota Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 4

The No. 10 Michigan State Spartans (19-3, 9-2 Big Ten) are favored by 6.5 points versus the Minnesota Golden Gophers (10-12, 3-8 Big Ten) on February 4, 2026 at Williams Arena. The Spartans are on a roll, going 8-2 in their past 10 games. The matchup has an over/under of 132.5 points.

Michigan State enters this matchup following an 83-71 loss to Michigan on Friday. In the losing effort, Jeremy Fears Jr. paced Michigan State with 31 points. Minnesota's last contest was a 77-75 loss to Penn State on Sunday. Langston Reynolds scored 18 points in Minnesota's loss, leading the team.

Michigan State vs. Minnesota Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, February 4, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Williams Arena in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Spread favorite: Michigan State -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Michigan State -339
• Moneyline underdog: Minnesota +268
• Over/Under: 132.5 points

How to watch Michigan State vs. Minnesota

• TV Channel: BTN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Michigan State vs. Minnesota

• Michigan State and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (132.5 points) 16 times this season.
• There have been 18 Minnesota games that finished with a combined score over 132.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 150.9 points per game, 18.4 points more than the over/under of 132.5 for this matchup.
• This game's over/under is 0.7 less than the 133.2 points these two teams combine to give up per game.
• On average, Michigan State has seen a 143.5-point over/under in its games this season, 11.0 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• Minnesota's games have an average over/under of 140.6 points this season, 8.1 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Michigan State vs. Minnesota

• In Michigan State's 22 games this year, it has 12 wins against the spread.
• The Spartans have an against the spread record of 6-8 in their 14 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or more so far this season.
• Minnesota has nine wins against the spread in 22 games this year.
• The Golden Gophers are 3-3 ATS when underdogs by 6.5 points or more this year.
• Minnesota is 9-3 overall, and 6-6 against the spread, at home.
• Minnesota is 4-3 ATS as a 6.5-point underdog or more at home.
• Away from home, Michigan State is 3-2 against the spread, and 4-1 overall.
• Michigan State has one win ATS (1-2) on the road as 6.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Michigan State vs. Minnesota

• This season, Michigan State has been listed as the moneyline favorite in 18 games and won them all.
• The Spartans have entered 13 games this season favored by -339 or more, and won each of those games.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 77.2% chance of a victory for Michigan State.
• Minnesota has been a moneyline underdog in 12 games this season and has come away with the win three times (25%) in those contests.
• The Golden Gophers have a win-loss record of 1-4 with odds of +268 or worse this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Minnesota has a 27.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.