Michigan State vs. Illinois Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 7

In a contest featuring one of the hottest squads in college basketball, the No. 5 Illinois Fighting Illini (20-3, 11-1 Big Ten) play the No. 10 Michigan State Spartans (19-4, 9-3 Big Ten) at Jack Breslin Students Events Center on February 7, 2026. The Fighting Illini have won 12 in a row, and are 10-0 in their past 10 games, but the Spartans are favorites by 1.5 points. The point total is 146 for the matchup.

Their last time out, Michigan State lost 76-73 to Minnesota on Wednesday. Coen Carr scored a team-high 16 points for Michigan State in the loss. Illinois is coming off of an 84-44 win over Northwestern in its most recent game on Wednesday. Andrej Stojakovic's team-leading 17 points paced Illinois in the victory.

Michigan State vs. Illinois Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 7, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Jack Breslin Students Events Center in East Lansing, Michigan
• Spread favorite: Michigan State -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Michigan State -116
• Moneyline underdog: Illinois -103
• Over/Under: 146 points

How to watch Michigan State vs. Illinois

• TV Channel: FOX
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Michigan State vs. Illinois

• Michigan State and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday's over/under of 146 points nine times this season.
• A total of 13 of Illinois' games have finished with a combined score higher than 146 points this season.
• The point total for the game of 146 is 17.5 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Spartans (78.9) and Fighting Illini (84.6).
• The 132.1 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 13.9 less than the 146-point over/under in this contest.
• Michigan State has seen a 143.8 average over/under in its games this season, 2.2 less than the over/under in this matchup.
• Illinois' games have an average over/under of 151.8 points this season, 5.8 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Michigan State vs. Illinois

• Michigan State is 12-11-0 against the spread this year.
• This season, the Spartans have an ATS record of 10-9 in their 19 games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more.
• Illinois is 15-8-0 against the spread this year.
• The Fighting Illini are 3-1 ATS when underdogs by 1.5 points or more this year.
• Michigan State is 6-7 against the spread, and 11-2 overall, at home this season.
• Michigan State is 6-5 ATS as a 1.5-point favorite or more at home.
• Illinois is 5-1 against the spread, and 6-0 overall, in away games.
• Illinois is 3-1 ATS as 1.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Michigan State vs. Illinois

• This season, Michigan State has won 18 out of the 19 games, or 94.7%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Spartans have entered 19 games this season favored by -116 or more and are 18-1 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.7% chance of a victory for Michigan State.
• Illinois has been victorious in three of the four contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Fighting Illini have a win-loss record of 2-1 with odds of -103 or worse this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Illinois has a 50.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.