Michigan vs. Purdue Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 17
17 February 2026

In a game featuring one of the hottest teams in college basketball, the No. 1 Michigan Wolverines (24-1, 14-1 Big Ten, 10-0 in their last 10) play the No. 7 Purdue Boilermakers (21-4, 11-3 Big Ten) at Mackey Arena on February 17, 2026. The Wolverines are favorites by 2.5 points. The matchup has an over/under of 156.5 points.
Their last time out, Michigan won on Saturday 86-56 against UCLA. In the victory, Yaxel Lendeborg led Michigan with 17 points. Purdue is coming off of a 78-57 victory against Iowa in its most recent outing on Saturday. In Purdue's win, Gicarri Harris led the way with 14 points (adding five rebounds and zero assists).
Michigan vs. Purdue Odds and Game Time
- When: Tuesday, February 17, 2026 at 6:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Indiana
- Spread favorite: Michigan -2.5
- Moneyline favorite: Michigan -161
- Moneyline underdog: Purdue +130
- Over/Under: 156.5 points
How to watch Michigan vs. Purdue
- TV Channel: Peacock
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Michigan vs. Purdue
- Michigan and its opponents have combined to outscore Tuesday's total of 156.5 points 12 times this season.
- Nine of Purdue's games have finished with a combined score over 156.5 points this season.
- The Wolverines average 90.6 points per game against the Boilermakers' 82.6, totaling 16.7 points over the matchup's over/under of 156.5.
- These two teams give up a combined 136.9 points per game, 19.6 points less than this contest's over/under.
- Michigan has seen a 158.9 average over/under in its games this season, 2.4 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
- The over/under for this matchup is 5.3 points higher than the average over/under in Purdue's games this season of 151.2.
Betting the Spread: Michigan vs. Purdue
- Against the spread, Michigan is 13-12-0 this season.
- This season, the Wolverines have an ATS record of 12-12 in their 24 games as a favorite of 2.5 points or more.
- Against the spread, Purdue is 12-13-0 this season.
- This season, the Boilermakers won ATS in their only game as an underdog of 2.5 points or more.
- Purdue is 4-9 against the spread, and 11-2 overall, at home this year.
- At home, as a 2.5-point underdog or more, Purdue is 4-9 ATS.
- Michigan has two wins against the spread, and are 8-0 overall, on the road.
- Away from home, Michigan has two wins ATS (2-6) as 2.5-point favorites or more.
Betting the Moneyline: Michigan vs. Purdue
- Michigan has been the moneyline favorite in 24 games this season and won 23 (95.8%) of those contests.
- The Wolverines have a record of 22-1, a 95.7% win rate, when favored by -161 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 61.7% chance of a victory for Michigan.
- Purdue has won in each of the two games it has played as moneyline underdogs this season.
- The Boilermakers have played as an underdog of +130 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
- Purdue has an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
