Michigan vs. Penn State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 5

The No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (20-1, 10-1 Big Ten) are favorites, by 25.5 points as they face the Penn State Nittany Lions (10-12, 1-10 Big Ten) on February 5, 2026 at Crisler Center. This contest features one of the hottest teams in college basketball against one of the coldest, as the Wolverines have won six in a row, and are 9-1 in their past 10 games. The Nittany Lions, on the other hand, have gone 2-8 in their past 10. The matchup's over/under is set at 163.5.

Last time out, Michigan won on Friday 83-71 against Michigan State. Yaxel Lendeborg totaled 26 points, 12 rebounds and one assist for Michigan. Penn State's last contest on Sunday ended in a 77-75 win over Minnesota. In Penn State's win, Freddie Filione V led the team with 25 points (adding five rebounds and zero assists).

Michigan vs. Penn State Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, February 5, 2026 at 6:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Crisler Center in Ann Arbor, Michigan
• Spread favorite: Michigan -25.5
• Moneyline favorite: Michigan -10000
• Moneyline underdog: Penn State +2833
• Over/Under: 163.5 points

How to watch Michigan vs. Penn State

• TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Michigan vs. Penn State

• Six of Michigan's games this season have gone over Thursday's over/under of 163.5 points.
• This season, seven games Penn State has played finished with a combined score higher than 163.5 points.
• The over/under for the contest of 163.5 is 3.5 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Wolverines (90.5 points per game) and the Nittany Lions (76.5 points per game).
• These two teams surrender a combined 147.3 points per game, 16.2 points less than this contest's over/under.
• This season the average over/under for Michigan's games is 159.4 points, 4.1 lower than the over/under of 163.5 points set for this contest.
• Penn State's games have an average over/under of 154.8 points this season, 8.7 fewer points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Michigan vs. Penn State

• Michigan is 10-11-0 against the spread this season.
• The Wolverines have covered the spread twice this season when favored by 25.5 points or more (in three chances).
• In Penn State's 22 games this year, it has nine wins against the spread.
• At home this season, Michigan is 10-1 overall and 6-5 against the spread.
• At home, as a 25.5-point favorite or greater, Michigan has two wins ATS (2-1).
• On the road, Penn State is 1-5 overall and 3-3 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: Michigan vs. Penn State

• This season, Michigan has won 19 out of the 20 games, or 95%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Wolverines have been at least a -10000 moneyline favorite three times this season and won each of those games.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 99% chance of a victory for Michigan.
• Penn State has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 12 games this year and has walked away with the win one time (8.3%) in those games.
• This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given the Nittany Lions this season with a +2833 moneyline set for this game.
• Penn State has an implied victory probability of 3.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.