Michigan vs. Penn State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 6

In a matchup pitting one of the highest-scoring teams in college basketball versus one of the worst teams defensively, the No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (13-0, 3-0 Big Ten, second in points per game) battle the Penn State Nittany Lions (9-5, 0-3 Big Ten, 205th in points conceded) at Bryce Jordan Center on January 6, 2026. The Wolverines are favored by 24.5 points. The matchup has an over/under set at 164.5 points.

In its last time out, Michigan won on Friday 96-66 against USC. In the win, Morez Johnson Jr. led Michigan with 29 points. Penn State lost its last matchup 73-65 against Illinois on Saturday. Penn State got a team-leading 16 points from Kayden Mingo in the loss.

Michigan vs. Penn State Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, January 6, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Bryce Jordan Center in University Park, Pennsylvania
• Spread favorite: Michigan -24.5
• Moneyline favorite: Michigan -10000
• Moneyline underdog: Penn State +2500
• Over/Under: 164.5 points

How to watch Michigan vs. Penn State

• TV Channel: FOX Sports 1
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Michigan vs. Penn State

• This season, Michigan's games have hit the over on this game's 164.5-point over/under five times.
• There have been just two games featuring Penn State this season with more combined points than Tuesday's over/under of 164.5.
• The over/under for the matchup of 164.5 is 10.3 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Wolverines (96.7 points per game) and the Nittany Lions (78.1 points per game).
• These two teams surrender a combined 140.7 points per game, 23.8 points less than this contest's over/under.
• This season the average over/under for Michigan's games is 163.2 points, 1.3 lower than the over/under of 164.5 points set for this contest.
• A difference of 12.2 points separates this contest's over/under (164.5 points) and the average over/under in Penn State's games (152.3) this season.

Betting the Spread: Michigan vs. Penn State

• Michigan has nine wins against the spread in 13 games this season.
• The Wolverines have been favored by 24.5 points or more four times this season and are 3-1 ATS in those matchups.
• Penn State has five wins against the spread in 14 games this year.
• Penn State is 3-6 against the spread, and 7-2 overall, at home.
• At home, Penn State is winless ATS (0-1) as a 24.5-point underdog or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Michigan vs. Penn State

• Michigan has been listed as the moneyline favorite 12 times this season and has won all of those games.
• The Wolverines have entered three games this season favored by -10000 or more, and won each of those games.
• Michigan has a 99% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Penn State has been posted as the moneyline underdog four times this season but has yet walk away from any of those games with an upset.
• Oddsmakers have given the Nittany Lions the worst odds of winning they have seen this season with a +2500 moneyline listed for this contest.
• Penn State has an implied victory probability of 3.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.