Michigan vs. Northwestern Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 11

In a contest between one of the hottest squads in the country versus one that is sputtering, the No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (22-1, 12-1 Big Ten), winners of eight in a row, and 9-1 in their past 10 games, face the Northwestern Wildcats (10-14, 2-11 Big Ten), who've dropped three straight and are 2-8 in their past 10. The Wolverines are favorites by 15.5 points for this contest at Welsh-Ryan Arena on February 11, 2026. The matchup has a point total of 154.

In its last game on Sunday, Michigan claimed an 82-61 win against Ohio State. Aday Mara recorded 24 points, six rebounds and three assists for Michigan. Northwestern's last game was a 76-70 loss to Iowa on Sunday. Nick Martinelli scored 21 points in Northwestern's loss, leading the team.

Michigan vs. Northwestern Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Welsh-Ryan Arena in Evanston, Illinois
• Spread favorite: Michigan -15.5
• Moneyline favorite: Michigan -1818
• Moneyline underdog: Northwestern +916
• Over/Under: 154 points

How to watch Michigan vs. Northwestern

• TV Channel: BTN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Michigan vs. Northwestern

• This season, Michigan and its opponents have combined to outscore Wednesday's over/under of 154 points 13 times.
• There have been 10 Northwestern games that finished with a combined score higher than 154 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 166 points per game, 12.0 points more than the over/under of 154 for this contest.
• These two teams give up a combined 141.2 points per game, 12.8 less than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for Michigan's games is 159.5 points, 5.5 more than the total of 154 points set for this contest.
• A difference of 6.4 points separates this game's over/under (154 points) and the average over/under in Northwestern's games (147.6) this season.

Betting the Spread: Michigan vs. Northwestern

• Against the spread, Michigan is 12-11-0 this year.
• The Wolverines have been favored by 15.5 points or more 14 times this season and are 7-7 ATS in those contests.
• Against the spread, Northwestern is 9-15-0 this season.
• The Wildcats have yet to cover the spread this year when underdogs by 15.5 points or more.
• At home this year, Northwestern is 4-8 against the spread and 7-5 overall.
• Northwestern is 3-3 ATS as a 15.5-point underdog or greater at home.
• Michigan has two wins against the spread, and are 7-0 overall, on the road.
• Michigan is winless ATS (0-3) on the road as 15.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Michigan vs. Northwestern

• This season, Michigan has won 21 out of the 22 games, or 95.5%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Wolverines have entered 14 games this season favored by -1818 or more and are 13-1 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 94.8% chance of a victory for Michigan.
• Northwestern has come away with one win in the 10 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Wildcats have played as an underdog of +916 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Northwestern has a 9.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.