Miami (OH) vs. UMass Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 27

The No. 24 Miami (OH) RedHawks (20-0, 8-0 MAC) are 9.5-point favorites over the UMass Minutemen (13-8, 4-5 MAC) on January 27, 2026 at Millett Hall. It's a contest pitting one of the highest-scoring squads in college basketball (RedHawks, first in points scored per game) against one of the poorest defensively (Minutemen, 201st in points allowed). The matchup has an over/under of 164.5 points.

In its most recent matchup on Tuesday, Miami (OH) claimed a 107-101 OT victory over Kent State. Peter Suder's team-high 27 points paced Miami (OH) in the victory. In its most recent game on Friday, UMass claimed a 68-67 win against Buffalo. Marcus Banks scored a team-best 19 points for UMass in the victory.

Miami (OH) vs. UMass Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, January 27, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Millett Hall in Oxford, Ohio
• Spread favorite: Miami (OH) -9.5
• Moneyline favorite: Miami (OH) -503
• Moneyline underdog: UMass +373
• Over/Under: 164.5 points

How to watch Miami (OH) vs. UMass

• TV Channel: ESPN U
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Miami (OH) vs. UMass

• This season, five of Miami (OH)'s 17 games have gone over Tuesday's total of 164.5 points.
• This season, six of UMass' games have ended with a combined score higher than 164.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 174.3 points per game, 9.8 points more than the over/under of 164.5 for this contest.
• The 148.9 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 15.6 fewer than the 164.5 over/under in this contest.
• On average, Miami (OH) has seen a 169.2-point over/under in its games this season, 4.7 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• A difference of 10.6 points separates this game's over/under (164.5 points) and the average over/under in UMass' games (153.9) this season.

Betting the Spread: Miami (OH) vs. UMass

• In Miami (OH)'s 17 games this season, it has 13 wins against the spread.
• This season, the RedHawks have an against-the-spread record of 5-3 in their eight games as a favorite of 9.5 points or more.
• UMass has eight wins against the spread in 20 games this year.
• The Minutemen have been underdogs by 9.5 points or more once this season and covered the spread.
• At home this season, Miami (OH) is 8-0 overall and 5-3 against the spread.
• This season, as a 9.5-point favorite or greater at home, Miami (OH) is 3-3 ATS.
• UMass has one win against the spread, and are 2-3 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Miami (OH) vs. UMass

• This season, Miami (OH) has been listed as the moneyline favorite in 13 games and won them all.
• The RedHawks have entered eight games this season favored by -503 or more, and won each of those games.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Miami (OH) has a 83.4% chance to win.
• UMass has been a moneyline underdog in seven games this season and has come away with the win three times (42.9%) in those contests.
• The Minutemen have played as an underdog of +373 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
• UMass has an implied victory probability of 21.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Miami (OH) vs. UMass

• Pick ATS: UMass (+ 9.5)
• Pick OU: Under (164.5)
  
• Prediction: Miami (OH) 82 - UMass 76