Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets Game 5 Betting Preview
12 June 2023
The Denver Nuggets continue to roll through the 2022-23 NBA season, with an NBA Championship seeming inevitable. It's must-win territory for the Miami Heat, who have continuously shot poorly throughout the NBA Finals, especially on open three-point attempts.
Can the Heat improve their shooting, or will Nikola Joki? produce another triple-double and bring the city of Denver another sports Championship? The Dunkel Index has our Heat vs Nuggets game 5 betting preview and picks for Monday's betting ticket.
You can catch game 5 from the Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado, on ABC, NBA League Pass, and fuboTV at 8:30 PM ET.
Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets Game 5 Betting Trends
- The over is 5-1 in the previous six meetings in Denver
- The road team is 4-2 in the head-to-head season series
- Miami and Denver have combined for a 3-3 over/under record this season
- The under is 7-1 in Miami's last eight games overall
Times Up for the Miami Heat?
Where has Playoff Jimmy gone? Why can't the Miami Heat make open shots?
These are some of the questions Miami Heat fans are asking heading into game 5 as the Heat face elimination and their second loss in the NBA Finals in four years. Eric Spoelstra is the best coach in the NBA, and the Heat's defense has been good enough, but their offense hasn't been good throughout most of the NBA Finals.
The Heat are shooting 42.4% from the field and 36.6% on three-point attempts in the NBA Finals. Miami is averaging 98.3 ppg in the Finals but has a 7-5 road record, including handing the Nuggets their first loss on home court in the playoffs.
Will Playoff Jimmy reemerge, or is there no South Beach magic or scoring depth to counter Denver's Joker card?
The Nuggets Will Continue to Roll at Home
Statistically, there is no more difficult place to win in the NBA than the Ball Arena in Denver. The Nuggets are 9-1 at home in the playoffs and a 34-7 record in the regular season.
The Nuggets are averaging 107.3 ppg in the NBA Finals, including two games with 108 total points. The Nuggets are shooting 50.8% from the field and shooting 37.6% on three-point attempts, including shooting 50% in game four.
If anything, the Nuggets' offense under Joki? and Murray is consistent.
The Dunkel Index's NBA Finals Game 5 Pick
The Denver Nuggets will score around 108 points on home court, making history and claiming their first NBA Championship in franchise history on Monday night.
The Dunkel Index is picking Joki?, Murray, and the Denver Nuggets to win game 5. The total points line has dropped game after game, from 218.5 in game one to 211.5 in game four.
Depending on where the totals line is listed on your sportsbook of choice, we're anticipating 204 total points scored in the game.
Be sure to check out all our Daily NBA Picks!
All Media on this page by Associated Press.
