Heat vs. Pelicans Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Jan. 4

The New Orleans Pelicans (8-28) will attempt to snap a six-game losing skid when visiting the Miami Heat (19-16) on January 4, 2026 at Kaseya Center.

Sunday's matchup between the Heat and the Pelicans features the Heat as strong 8-point favorites. The game has a point total of 244.5.

Heat vs. Pelicans Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Sunday, January 4, 2026
• Game time: 6 p.m. ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Arena: Kaseya Center
• Total: 244.5 points
• Spread: Heat -8
• Moneyline: Heat (-375), Pelicans (+300)

How to watch Heat vs. Pelicans

• TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Sun
• Live Stream: Fubo

Betting the Over/Under: Heat vs. Pelicans

• Heat games this season have featured more combined points than this contest's total of 244.5 points 15 times.
• The Pelicans have played 13 games this season that have had more than 244.5 combined points scored.
• These two teams are scoring 236.1 points per game between them, 8.4 fewer than this matchup's total.
• Combined, these teams give up 240.7 points per game, 3.8 fewer points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Heat vs. Pelicans

• Miami has compiled a 20-14-1 record against the spread this season.
• The Heat have been favored by 8 points or more three times this season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
• The Pelicans have won 21 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 15 times.
• When playing as at least 8-point underdogs this year, New Orleans has an ATS record of 13-7.
• At home this year, the Heat are 10-8 against the spread and 12-6 overall.
• At home, Miami has one win ATS (1-2) as a 8-point favorite or more.
• This year in away games, the Pelicans are 7-7 against the spread and 2-12 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Heat vs. Pelicans

• The Heat have won 60% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (9-6).
• This season, the Pelicans have won six out of the 34 games, or 17.6%, in which they've been the underdog.
• In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -375 or shorter, Miami has gone 2-1 (66.7% win percentage).
• New Orleans has a record of 1-14, a 6.7% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +300 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Heat's implied win probability is 78.9%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Heat vs. Pelicans

• Pick ATS: Heat (- 8)
• Pick OU: Over (244.5)
  
• Prediction: Heat 131 - Pelicans 120
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!