Heat vs. Hawks Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Feb. 3

The Miami Heat (27-24) are home in Southeast Division action versus the Atlanta Hawks (24-27) on February 3, 2026. It's the second matchup between these clubs this season.

Miami is a tight 1.5-point favorite against Atlanta when the Heat face off with the Hawks on Tuesday. The game has a point total of 241.5.

Heat vs. Hawks Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Tuesday, February 3, 2026
• Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Arena: Kaseya Center
• Total: 241.5 points
• Spread: Heat -1.5
• Moneyline: Heat (-122), Hawks (+104)

How to watch Heat vs. Hawks

• TV Channel: FDSSUN, FDSSE

Betting the Over/Under: Heat vs. Hawks

• In 23 of 51 games this season, the Heat and their opponents have scored more than 241.5 points.
• The Hawks have played 21 games this season that finished with a combined score over 241.5 points.
• The two teams combine to score 237.2 points per game, 4.3 fewer points than this matchup's total.
• These teams give up 236.1 points per game combined, 5.4 points fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Heat vs. Hawks

• Miami has covered 29 times in 51 games with a spread this season.
• When playing as at least 1.5-point favorites this season, the Heat have an ATS record of 13-11.
• The Hawks are 25-26-0 ATS this year.
• Atlanta has covered the spread 16 times this year (16-9 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.
• At home this year, the Heat are 16-9 overall and 14-11 against the spread.
• Miami is 9-9 ATS as a 1.5-point favorite or greater at home.
• This year on the road, the Hawks are 16-12 against the spread and 15-13 overall.
• Atlanta is 6-6 ATS as 1.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Heat vs. Hawks

• The Heat have gone 15-9 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 62.5% of those games).
• This season, the Hawks have won 13 out of the 27 games, or 48.1%, in which they've been the underdog.
• Miami has a record of 14-9 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -122 or shorter (winning 60.9%).
• Atlanta has a record of 11-13, a 45.8% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +104 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Heat have an implied win probability of 55.0%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Heat vs. Hawks

• Pick ATS: Heat (- 1.5)
• Pick OU: Over (241.5)
  
• Prediction: Heat 126 - Hawks 118
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!