Miami Heat at Boston Celtics Betting Preview/Prop Picks
23 May 2022

The Eastern Conference Finals will continue today as the Heat face the Celtics. With a 2-1 lead in the series, the Heat could take another jump forward with a win today.
They're coming off a 109-103 victory and could have another player back on the court. Momentum is on the side of Miami at the moment; that much is certain. The question is, can they capitalize on it tonight?
The Boston Celtics get to play one more game at home before returning to Miami. If they want to avoid facing elimination on the road, they'll need to get a win tonight.
Unfortunately, they're beginning to wear down, with multiple players dealing with injuries. In order to win, they'll need to rise above these injuries and take down the Heat. So, who's the best bet between these two?
Miami Heat: Kyle Lowry could potentially take the court tonight
Great news for the Miami Heat as PG Kyle Lowry has been upgraded to "day-to-day." He played limited minutes in Game 3 but still had a sizeable contribution. Considering Jimmy Butler is questionable, Lowry will be forced to play a larger role.
The good news is players such as Bam Adebayo have made a massive impact. Adebayo had 31 points against the Celtics in Game 3.
Each player on the Heat's roster has a specific role that they play. Right now, with momentum on their side, they can continue to pressure the Celtics' defense.
Through the series, the Heat have averaged 109.66 points per game. To beat the Celtics in Game 4, it'll take a strong mixture of offense and defense. If any team can put both those factors together, it's the Miami Heat.
Boston Celtics: Tatum dealing with an injured clavicle
Each of these teams are dealing with injuries, keeping the trainers busy. However, the one that concerns us the most is the clavicle injury to Jayson Tatum. It's said that Tatum is still expected to play, but keep that in mind for any player props.
The difference-maker for the Celtics tonight is Jaylen Brown, who put up 40 points in Game 3. The Celtics need to get Brown open looks here.
On defense, the Celtics' interior needs to be much stronger. After being beatdown by Bam Adebayo, Boston needs to tighten up defensively. This was likely a focal point in conversations over the last few days.
Even with the injuries and the recent loss, the Celtics come in as the favorites. With that being said, are they going to be the best option for you to take tonight?
Miami Heat at Boston Celtics Betting Pick
Boston comes into this game as 6.5-point favorites. This is a large spread to cover, especially after the recent loss.
However, Jimmy Butler will likely be on limited minutes tonight, along with a few other Heat players. This will give the Celtics the opening they need to win this game at home.
It's going to be a close one, but we think the Celtics can cover the spread. Their offense is poised for a breakout, especially with Jaylen Brown leading the charge. We'll also take the over in this game since the total has gone over in five of Boston's last seven games.
DunkelIndex Free Pick: Boston Celtics -6.5, OVER
Prop Picks
Boston (-110) OVER 107.5 Points
Boston is averaging 111.8 points per game on offense, which ranks No. 12 in the league, while converting 81.6 percent of its free throws, which ranks No. 2. Scores have gone OVER in 5 of the Celtics’ last six home games versus Miami.
With Dunkel predicting a Boston home victory by the score of 113-102, take the Celtics (-110) to finish OVER their Vegas team total of 107.5 points against the Heat.
Jayson Tatum (-110) OVER 27.5 Points
Tatum averaged 26.9 points per game in 76 games during the regular season, which ranked No. 1 on the Celtics. The strong forward is also averaging 26.9 points per game in 14 postseason games, which also ranks No. 1 on the Celtics.
With Dunkel predicting a Boston win while going OVER the Vegas team point total, take Tatum (-110) to finish OVER his Vegas point total of 27.5 points against Miami.
Be sure to check out all our Daily NBA Picks!
