Merrimack vs. Rider Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 7

In a contest featuring one of the hottest squads in the nation versus one that is struggling, the Merrimack Warriors (15-9, 11-2 MAAC), winners of three in a row, and 8-2 in their past 10 games, battle the Rider Broncs (3-19, 2-11 MAAC), are 2-8 in their past 10. The Warriors are favorites by 9.5 points for this contest at Alumni Gymnasium on February 7, 2026. The matchup has a point total of 137.5.

Merrimack is coming off of an 87-70 win against Mount St. Mary's in its last outing on Thursday. Ernest Shelton scored a team-high 27 points for Merrimack in the win. Rider heads into this matchup on the heels of an 81-52 loss to Marist on Thursday. Aasim Burton's team-high 18 points paced Rider in the loss.

Merrimack vs. Rider Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 7, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Alumni Gymnasium in Lawrenceville, New Jersey
• Spread favorite: Merrimack -9.5
• Moneyline favorite: Merrimack -481
• Moneyline underdog: Rider +363
• Over/Under: 137.5 points

How to watch Merrimack vs. Rider

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Merrimack vs. Rider

• This season, 11 of Merrimack's 24 games have gone over Saturday's total of 137.5 points.
• This season, nine of Rider's games have ended with a combined score higher than 137.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 132.3 points per game, 5.2 points fewer than the over/under of 137.5 for this game.
• This matchup's point total is eight less than the 145.5 points these two teams combine to give up per game.
• On average, the over/under in Merrimack's games is 0.7 fewer points than the over/under of 137.5 in this matchup.
• Rider's games have an average over/under of 141 points this season, 3.5 more points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: Merrimack vs. Rider

• Against the spread, Merrimack is 15-9-0 this year.
• The Warriors have yet to cover the spread this season when favored by 9.5 points or more.
• Rider has seven wins against the spread in 21 games this season.
• So far this season, the Broncs have been installed as underdogs by a 9.5-point margin or more 12 times and are 3-9 ATS in those matchups.
• Rider has two wins against the spread, and is 2-6 overall, at home this year.
• On the road, Merrimack is 7-6 against the spread, and 6-7 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Merrimack vs. Rider

• This season, Merrimack has won eight out of the nine games in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Warriors have played as a favorite of -481 or more once this season and won that game.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 82.8% chance of a victory for Merrimack.
• Rider has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 19 games this year and has walked away with the win two times (10.5%) in those games.
• The Broncs have won all of their nine games in which they were named as at least a +363 moneyline underdog.
• Rider has an implied victory probability of 21.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Merrimack vs. Rider

• Pick ATS: Merrimack (- 9.5)
• Pick OU: Over (137.5)
  
• Prediction: Merrimack 83 - Rider 66