Merrimack vs. Mount St. Mary's Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 5

The Merrimack Warriors (14-9, 10-2 MAAC) are favored by 3.5 points over the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (10-14, 6-7 MAAC) on February 5, 2026 at Knott Arena. The Warriors are red-hot, having won two in a row and going 8-2 in their past 10 games. The matchup has an over/under of 135.

In its most recent matchup on Sunday, Merrimack earned a 75-58 victory over Sacred Heart. Kevair Kennedy's team-leading 21 points paced Merrimack in the victory. Mount St. Mary's heads into this game on the heels of a 72-65 win over Manhattan on Sunday. Luke McEldon scored a team-high 14 points for Mount St. Mary's in the win.

Merrimack vs. Mount St. Mary's Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, February 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Knott Arena in Emmitsburg, Maryland
• Spread favorite: Merrimack -3.5
• Moneyline favorite: Merrimack -160
• Moneyline underdog: Mount St. Mary's +135
• Over/Under: 135 points

How to watch Merrimack vs. Mount St. Mary's

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Merrimack vs. Mount St. Mary's

• This season, 13 of Merrimack's 23 games have gone over Thursday's over/under of 135 points.
• This season, 15 games Mount St. Mary's has played finished with a combined score higher than 135 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 134.8 points per game, 0.2 fewer points than the point total of 135 for this contest.
• These two teams surrender a combined 140.6 points per game, 5.6 more than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for Merrimack's games is 136.0 points, 1.0 more than the total of 135 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this contest is 4.5 points lower than the average over/under in Mount St. Mary's games this season (139.5 points).

Betting the Spread: Merrimack vs. Mount St. Mary's

• In Merrimack's 23 games this year, it has 14 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Warriors have been installed as favorites by a 3.5-point margin or more five times and are 4-1 ATS in those contests.
• Mount St. Mary's has played 23 games, with 13 wins against the spread.
• The Mountaineers have been underdogs by 3.5 points or more 12 times this year and are 5-7 ATS in those contests.
• Mount St. Mary's is 5-4 against the spread, and 5-4 overall, at home.
• At home, as a 3.5-point underdog or greater, Mount St. Mary's is unbeaten ATS (2-0).
• Merrimack is 5-7 overall, and 6-6 against the spread, on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Merrimack vs. Mount St. Mary's

• Merrimack has entered the game as moneyline favorites eight times this season and won seven of those games.
• The Warriors have been at least a -160 moneyline favorite seven times this season and won each of those games.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 61.5% chance of a victory for Merrimack.
• Mount St. Mary's has won in two, or 13.3%, of the 15 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• This season, the Mountaineers have been a moneyline underdog of -160 or more 10 times, losing every contest.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Mount St. Mary's has a 42.6% chance of pulling out a win.