Mercury vs. Lynx: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - May 12

The Phoenix Mercury (1-1) go up against the Minnesota Lynx (0-1) at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May 12, 2026. The matchup airs on Victory+.

Phoenix suffered defeat by a final score of 95-79 in its last game against Golden State. Leading the way on offense for the Mercury was Alyssa Thomas, who finished with 16 points, nine rebounds and 11 assists. Jovana Nogic posted 16 points.

In its most recent game, Minnesota lost to Atlanta, 91-90, at home. Its top scorers were Olivia Miles (21 PTS, 8 AST, 2 STL, 2 BLK, 42.9 FG%) and Kayla McBride (18 PTS, 50 FG%, 2-6 from 3PT).

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Mercury vs. Lynx Betting Lines

Take a look below at the most up-to-date betting lines for the Mercury-Lynx game.

• Favorite: Mercury (-4.5)
• Total: 169.5
• Mercury Moneyline: -225
• Lynx Moneyline: +180

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Mercury Betting Insights (2025 Stats)

• Based on this game's moneyline, the Mercury's implied win probability is 69.2%.
• Phoenix finished 22-11 in games it was favored on the moneyline last season (winning 66.7% of those games).
• The Mercury compiled a 28-27-0 ATS record last year.
• In 18 games last season, Phoenix and its opponents scored more than 169.5 combined points.
• The average total in Mercury contests last season was 163.0, 6.5 fewer points than this game's over/under.

Lynx Betting Insights (2025 Stats)

• The Lynx have a 35.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Minnesota won two of the four games it played as an underdog last season.
• The Lynx won 26 games against the spread last year, while failing to cover 24 times.
• Minnesota played 15 games last season that went over 169.5 combined points scored.
• The average over/under for Lynx contests last year was 160.7, 8.8 fewer points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Mercury vs. Lynx

• Last year, Phoenix put up 82.8 points per game, 6.1 more points than the 76.7 that Minnesota gave up.
• The Mercury had a 24-8 record last season when scoring more than 76.7 points.
• When playing at home last season, Phoenix posted two more points per game (83.8) than it did in road games (81.8).
• Minnesota's 86.1 points per game last year were six more points than the 80.1 that Phoenix allowed.
• When they scored more than 80.1 points last season, the Lynx went 26-4.
• In 2025, Minnesota averaged 2.5 more points per game at home (87.3) than on the road (84.8).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.