Mercury vs. Dream: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - July 23

The Atlanta Dream (13-10) will look to Allisha Gray (seventh in WNBA, 18.6 points per game) to help defeat Satou Sabally (sixth in league, 19.1) and the Phoenix Mercury (15-7) on Wednesday, July 23, 2025 at PHX Arena, at 10 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network, Peachtree TV, AZFamily, and Merc+.

Phoenix enters this contest following a 79-66 loss versus Minnesota. The Mercury's leading scorer was Alyssa Thomas, who finished with 12 points and nine assists.

In its most recent game, Atlanta lost to Las Vegas 87-72 on the road, with Gray (24 PTS, 8 REB, 2 STL, 43.8 FG%, 5-11 from 3PT) and Jordin Canada (12 PTS, 6 AST, 30.8 FG%, 2-3 from 3PT) leading the way.

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Mercury vs. Dream Betting Lines

Snag a peek below at the most recent betting lines for the Mercury-Dream matchup.

• Favorite: Mercury (-7.5)
• Total: 164
• Mercury Moneyline: -325
• Dream Moneyline: +250

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Mercury Betting Insights

• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Mercury's implied win probability is 76.5%.
• Phoenix has been favored on the moneyline 12 times this season. They've finished 10-2 in those games.
• The Mercury have compiled a 13-9-0 record against the spread this season.
• Phoenix's 22 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 164 points 11 times.
• The average total in Mercury games this season is 161.2, 2.8 points fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Dream Betting Insights

• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 28.6% chance of a victory for the Dream.
• This season, Atlanta has been the underdog nine times and won three of those games.
• The Dream have put together a 12-11-0 ATS record so far this season.
• Atlanta has combined with its opponent to score more than 164 points in 11 of 23 games this season.
• The average over/under for Dream contests this season is 161.8, 2.2 fewer points than this game's total.

Key Stats for Mercury vs. Dream

• The 83.4 points per game Phoenix averages are just 4.7 more points than Atlanta allows (78.7).
• The Mercury have a 12-2 record when scoring more than 78.7 points.
• Phoenix's offense has been much better when playing at home (85.6 PPG) compared to its play on the road (80.8 PPG). Similarly, its defense has been better at home (77.8 PPG allowed) compared to road games (81.1 PPG allowed).
• Atlanta puts up only four more points per game (83.3) than Phoenix allows its opponents to score (79.3).
• The Dream have gone 11-4 when they've scored more than 79.3 points.
• Atlanta averages 85.4 points per game at home, 4.1 more than on the road (81.3). Defensively, it gives up 77.1 per game, three fewer points than on the road (80.1).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.