Marshall vs. South Alabama Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 16

The Marshall Thundering Herd (16-10, 8-5 Sun Belt) are favored, by 4.5 points, over the South Alabama Jaguars (19-7, 9-4 Sun Belt) on February 16, 2026 at Cam Henderson Center. The Jaguars are on a roll, having won three in a row and going 8-2 in their past 10 games, yet are still the underdogs. The matchup has a point total of 148.5.

Their last time out, Marshall lost 101-87 to Georgia Southern on Saturday. Jalen Speer scored a team-high 20 points for Marshall in the loss. In its last matchup on Saturday, South Alabama secured a 92-88 OT win against Arkansas State. Chaze Harris' team-leading 30 points paced South Alabama in the victory.

Marshall vs. South Alabama Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, February 16, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Cam Henderson Center in Huntington, West Virginia
• Spread favorite: Marshall -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Marshall -207
• Moneyline underdog: South Alabama +162
• Over/Under: 148.5 points

How to watch Marshall vs. South Alabama

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Marshall vs. South Alabama

• Marshall and its opponents have combined to go over Monday's total of 148.5 points 18 times this season.
• A total of 11 of South Alabama's games have ended with a combined score higher than 148.5 points this season.
• The point total for the contest of 148.5 is 6.0 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Thundering Herd (80.2) and Jaguars (74.3).
• This matchup's total is 3.7 fewer points than the 144.8 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• On average, Marshall has had a 156.2-point over/under in its games this season, 7.7 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 5.4 points more than the average over/under in South Alabama's games this season (143.1 points).

Betting the Spread: Marshall vs. South Alabama

• Against the spread, Marshall is 8-17-0 this year.
• This season, the Thundering Herd have just two ATS wins in 13 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or more.
• In South Alabama's 24 games this season, it has 12 wins against the spread.
• This year, the Jaguars have an ATS record of 3-4 in their seven games as an underdog of 4.5 points or more.
• Marshall is 3-10 against the spread, and 10-3 overall, at home this year.
• Marshall has two wins ATS (2-9) as a 4.5-point favorite or greater at home.
• In away games, South Alabama is 7-6 against the spread, and 8-5 overall.
• South Alabama is winless ATS (0-1) away from home as 4.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Marshall vs. South Alabama

• This season, Marshall has been moneyline favorites 16 times and won 11, or 68.8%, of those games.
• The Thundering Herd have a record of 8-2, a 80% win rate, when favored by -207 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• Marshall has a 67.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• South Alabama has been a moneyline underdog in 12 games this season and has come away with the win seven times (58.3%) in those contests.
• The Jaguars have a win-loss record of 2-4 with odds of +162 or worse this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies South Alabama has a 38.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.