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Maple Leafs vs. Sabres NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 27

27 January 2026 By Data Skrive

The Toronto Maple Leafs (24-19-9) host the Buffalo Sabres (29-17-5) on Tuesday, Jan. 27, with the Maple Leafs coming off a defeat in their last game and the Sabres a win. The Sabres are small underdogs, at -102, and the Maple Leafs are -118.

Toronto fell in a 4-1 loss at home its last time out on Jan. 25 against the Colorado Avalanche. Three Maple Leafs skaters had one point each, including Bobby McMann (one assist) and Easton Cowan (one assist).

In its most recent game on Jan. 24, Buffalo claimed a 5-0 road victory over the New York Islanders. Ryan McLeod (two assists) and Mattias Samuelsson (two assists) were among the three Sabres players who recorded two points each in that outing.

Before watching this matchup, here is our pick for which squad will secure the win in Tuesday's hockey action.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming contest between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Buffalo Sabres, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Sabres 4 - Maple Leafs 1
  • Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5.07 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Maple Leafs vs. Sabres Moneylines

Take a look below at the most recent moneylines for the Maple Leafs-Sabres game.

  • Favorite: Maple Leafs (-118)
  • Underdog: Sabres (-102)

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

  • In the 24 times this season the Maple Leafs have been favored on the moneyline, they have finished 12-12 in those games.
  • Toronto is 12-11 (victorious in 52.2% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -118 or shorter.
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Maple Leafs have an implied probability of 54.1% to win.
  • Toronto and its opponent have posted more than 6.5 goals in 30 of 52 games this season.

Sabres Betting Insights

  • The Sabres have won 14, or 53.8%, of the 26 games they have played while the underdog this season.
  • Buffalo has entered 24 games this season as the underdog by -102 or more and is 13-11 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Sabres, based on the moneyline, is 50.5%.
  • Buffalo has played 24 games this season with over 6.5 goals.

Maple Leafs Key Stats

  • Toronto has scored the ninth-most goals in the NHL (170 total, 3.3 per game).
  • The Maple Leafs rank 29th in goals against, conceding 175 total goals (3.4 per game) in NHL action.
  • Its -5 goal differential ranks 17th in the league.
  • The 22 power-play goals the Maple Leafs have scored this season rank 32nd in the NHL (on 128 power-play chances).
  • Toronto's 17.19% power-play conversion rate ranks 25th in the league.
  • The three shorthanded goals the Maple Leafs have scored this season rank 19th among NHL teams.
  • Toronto has the league's fourth-best penalty-kill percentage (83.7%).
  • Toronto wins the highest percentage of faceoffs in the NHL, 56.4%.
  • The Maple Leafs have a 12.1% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks fifth in the league.

Sabres Key Stats

  • Buffalo has 169 goals this season (3.3 per game), 12th in the league.
  • The Sabres allow 3.0 goals per game (155 in total), 13th in the league.
  • It has the ninth-best goal differential in the league at +14.
  • The Sabres have 28 power-play goals (21st in NHL) on 149 chances.
  • Buffalo scores on 18.79% of its power plays, No. 21 in the league.
  • The Sabres lead the league in shorthanded goals with seven.
  • Buffalo's has the sixth-best penalty-kill percentage (83.57%).
  • Buffalo wins 44.3% of faceoffs, 32nd-ranked in the NHL.
  • The Sabres' 12.1% shooting percentage is fifth in the league.

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