Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Jan. 21

The Toronto Maple Leafs (24-17-8) host the Detroit Red Wings (30-16-4) on Wednesday, Jan. 21, with the Maple Leafs coming off a defeat and the Red Wings a win. The oddsmakers see this as a close one, with the Maple Leafs -118 to win on the moneyline, and the Red Wings at -102.

Toronto suffered a 6-3 defeat at home its last time out on Jan. 19 against the Minnesota Wild. Auston Matthews' two points (one goal and one assist) led the Maple Leafs.

Detroit won at home in its last game on Jan. 18, 4-3 over the Ottawa Senators. The Red Wings got two points each out of Andrew Copp (two assists) and Alex DeBrincat (one goal and one assist).

Before watching this matchup, here is a peek at which club we predict will bring home the victory in Wednesday's action on the ice.

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Predictions & Pick

For insights on the upcoming game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Detroit Red Wings, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Maple Leafs 4 - Red Wings 3
• Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 6.96 goals)
  

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Moneylines

Grab a peek below at the most recent moneylines for the Maple Leafs-Red Wings game.

• Favorite: Maple Leafs (-118)
• Underdog: Red Wings (-102)

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• In the 23 times this season the Maple Leafs have been favored on the moneyline, they have gone 12-11 in those games.
• Toronto is 12-10 (victorious in 54.5% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -118 or shorter.
• Based on the moneyline in this matchup, the Maple Leafs' implied win probability is 54.1%.
• Toronto's games this season have gone over this matchup's total of 6.5 goals 29 times.

Red Wings Betting Insights

• This season the Red Wings have been an underdog 25 times, and won 14, or 56.0%, of those games.
• This season Detroit has won 13 of its 23 games, or 56.5%, when it's the underdog by at least -102 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this matchup implies a 50.5% chance of victory for the Red Wings.
• Detroit has played 23 games this season with over 6.5 goals.

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• Toronto's 165 total goals (3.4 per game) rank seventh in the NHL.
• The Maple Leafs rank 24th in goals against, allowing 163 total goals (3.3 per game) in NHL play.
• Its +2 goal differential ranks 16th in the league.
• The 21 power-play goals the Maple Leafs have put up this season (on 122 power-play chances) rank 30th in the NHL.
• Toronto has the league's 23rd-ranked power-play conversion rate (17.21%).
• The Maple Leafs have scored three shorthanded goals this season (17th among NHL squads).
• Toronto has the league's fifth-best penalty-kill percentage (83.08%).
• Toronto has the best faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 56.5%.
• The Maple Leafs have a 12.5% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks fourth in the league.

Red Wings Key Stats

• With 155 goals (3.1 per game), Detroit has the league's 15th-ranked offense.
• The Red Wings allow 3.0 goals per game (151 in total), 16th in the league.
• With a goal differential of +4, the team is 15th in the league.
• The Red Wings have 40 power-play goals (third-most in NHL) on 159 chances.
• Detroit scores on 25.16% of its power plays, No. 6 in the league.
• In terms of shorthanded goal, the Red Wings have one.
• The 78.95% penalty-kill percentage of Detroit is 17th in the NHL.
• At 50.5%, Detroit has the NHL's 15th-ranked faceoff win percentage.
• The Red Wings' 11.1% shooting percentage is 14th in the league.