Maple Leafs vs. Islanders NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Oct. 17

The Toronto Maple Leafs got a hat trick from Kirill Marchenko last time out, and now will host the New York Islanders on Saturday, Oct. 17. The Islanders are underdogs on the road, at +110, and the Maple Leafs are -130.

Toronto fell 5-4 in overtime at home in its last game on Oct. 15 against the Buffalo Sabres. Marchenko had three points (three goals) for the Maple Leafs.

New York was on the road for its last game on Oct. 15, and fell to the Ottawa Senators 2-1, losing a shootout 1-0. Matias Maccelli led the Islanders with one point (one goal) in that matchup.

Before this matchup, here's who we expect to secure the win in Saturday's hockey game.

Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Predictions & Pick

For the upcoming game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and New York Islanders, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, sourced from Dunkel Index.

• Prediction: Maple Leafs 4 - Islanders 1
• Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 5 goals)
  

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Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Moneylines

Snag a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Maple Leafs-Islanders matchup.

• Favorite: Maple Leafs (-130)
• Underdog: Islanders (+110)

Maple Leafs Betting Insights

• The Maple Leafs are 2-3 when listed as a moneyline favorite this season.
• Toronto has been a moneyline favorite of -130 or shorter twice this season, and won both.
• The Maple Leafs' implied moneyline win probability is 56.5% in this game.
• Toronto's games this season have gone over this matchup's total of 6.5 goals five times.

Islanders Betting Insights

• This season the Islanders have won one of the five games in which they've been an underdog.
• New York has a record of 1-4 in games when bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +110 on the moneyline.
• The Islanders have a 47.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• New York and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals twice this season.

Maple Leafs Key Stats

• Toronto's 28 total goals (3.5 per game) rank eighth in the league.
• Defensively, the Maple Leafs are conceding 27 total goals (3.4 per game) to rank 26th in NHL action.
• It has the league's 15th-ranked goal differential at +1.
• The eight power-play goals the Maple Leafs have put up this season (on 27 power-play chances) are the third-most in the NHL.
• Toronto has the league's fourth-best power-play conversion rate (29.63%).
• Toronto has a league-leading 96.15% penalty-kill percentage.
• Toronto has the eighth-best faceoff win rate in the NHL, at 52.4%.
• The Maple Leafs shoot 12.6% as a team (11th in the league).

Islanders Key Stats

• New York has 20 goals this season (2.9 per game), 24th in the NHL.
• The Islanders have one of the top defenses in the league, conceding 16 total goals (only 2.3 per game), second in the NHL.
• Its +4 goal differential is the 10th-best in the league.
• The Islanders have four power-play goals (on 22 chances), 18th in the NHL.
• New York scores on 18.18% of its power plays, No. 18 in the league.
• In terms of shorthanded goals, the Islanders have two.
• The 85.19% penalty-kill percentage of New York is 10th in the NHL.
• At 53.6%, New York has the NHL's fifth-best faceoff win percentage.
• The 11.2% shooting percentage of the Islanders is 17th in the league.