LSU vs. Mississippi State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Jan. 28

The LSU Tigers (13-7, 1-6 SEC) take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-10, 2-5 SEC) as 7.5-point favorites on Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET on SEC Network+. The point total in the matchup is set at 151.5.

Last time out, LSU lost 85-81 to Arkansas on Saturday. Dedan Thomas Jr. scored a team-leading 16 points for LSU in the loss. Mississippi State's most recent outing was an 88-56 loss to Vanderbilt on Saturday. Jayden Epps recorded 14 points, five rebounds and zero assists for Mississippi State.

LSU vs. Mississippi State Odds and Game Time

• When: Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Pete Maravich Assembly Center in Baton Rouge, Louisiana
• Spread favorite: LSU -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: LSU -385
• Moneyline underdog: Mississippi State +298
• Over/Under: 151.5 points

How to watch LSU vs. Mississippi State

• TV Channel: SEC Network
• Live Stream: Fubo
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: LSU vs. Mississippi State

• A total of 10 of LSU's games this season have gone over Wednesday's total of 151.5 points.
• This season, 12 games Mississippi State has played finished with a combined score over 151.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 160.9 points per game, 9.4 points more than the over/under of 151.5 for this contest.
• The 152 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 0.5 more than the 151.5 total in this contest.
• This season, the average over/under for LSU's games is 156.7 points, 5.2 more than the total of 151.5 points set for this contest.
• A difference of 4.7 points separates the average over/under in Mississippi State's games (156.2 points) and this game's over/under (151.5).

Betting the Spread: LSU vs. Mississippi State

• LSU is 12-8-0 against the spread this season.
• The Tigers are 5-6 ATS when favored by 7.5 points or more this season.
• Mississippi State is 6-14-0 against the spread this year.
• The Bulldogs have covered the spread once this year when underdogs by 7.5 points or more (in four chances).
• At home this season, LSU is 6-5 against the spread and 9-2 overall.
• LSU is 4-5 ATS as a 7.5-point favorite or more at home.
• Mississippi State is 2-2 overall, with two wins against the spread, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: LSU vs. Mississippi State

• This season, LSU has been moneyline favorites 12 times and won 11, or 91.7%, of those games.
• The Tigers have been at least a -385 moneyline favorite seven times this season and won each of those games.
• The implied probability of a win from LSU, based on the moneyline, is 79.4%.
• Mississippi State has been victorious in one of the six contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This season, the Bulldogs have been victorious one time in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +298 or worse on the moneyline.
• Mississippi State has an implied victory probability of 25.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.