Louisville vs. NC State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 9

In a contest featuring one of the hottest squads in college basketball, the NC State Wolfpack (18-6, 9-2 ACC) play the No. 24 Louisville Cardinals (17-6, 7-4 ACC) at KFC Yum! Center on February 9, 2026. The Wolfpack have won six in a row, and are 8-2 in their past 10 games, but the Cardinals are favorites by 6.5 points. The matchup's point total is set at 161.5.

Louisville is coming off of an 88-80 win over Wake Forest in its last game on Saturday. Sananda Fru totaled 17 points, six rebounds and two assists for Louisville. NC State enters this contest after an 82-73 victory over Virginia Tech on Saturday. In NC State's win, Quadir Copeland led the team with 21 points (adding three rebounds and 10 assists).

Louisville vs. NC State Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, February 9, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky
• Spread favorite: Louisville -6.5
• Moneyline favorite: Louisville -300
• Moneyline underdog: NC State +242
• Over/Under: 161.5 points

How to watch Louisville vs. NC State

• TV Channel: ESPN
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Louisville vs. NC State

• This season, eight of Louisville's 23 games have gone over Monday's over/under of 161.5 points.
• Nine of NC State's games have finished with a combined score over 161.5 points this season.
• The point total for the matchup of 161.5 is 9.9 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Cardinals (85.7 points per game) and the Wolfpack (85.7 points per game).
• This game's total is 18.3 fewer points than the 143.2 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• On average, the over/under in Louisville's games is 5.1 fewer points than the over/under of 161.5 in this matchup.
• The over/under for this game is 3.4 points more than the average over/under in NC State's games this season (158.1 points).

Betting the Spread: Louisville vs. NC State

• Against the spread, Louisville is 12-11-0 this year.
• The Cardinals are 10-6 ATS when favored by 6.5 points or more this season.
• Against the spread, NC State is 13-11-0 this year.
• This year, the Wolfpack are winless against the spread when entering a game as an underdog of 6.5 points or more.
• Louisville is 8-6 against the spread, and 12-2 overall, at home this year.
• This season, as a 6.5-point favorite or more at home, Louisville is 7-4 ATS.
• Away from home, NC State is 4-3 against the spread, and 6-1 overall.
• NC State has two wins ATS (2-1) away from home as 6.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Louisville vs. NC State

• This season, Louisville has won 16 out of the 19 games, or 84.2%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• This season, the Cardinals have won 13 of their 14 games, or 92.9%, when favored by at least -300 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Louisville has a 75% chance to win.
• NC State has split the two contests it has played as moneyline underdogs this season.
• The Wolfpack have yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +242.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies NC State has a 29.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.