Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview/Prop Picks
13 July 2022
The games between the Los Angeles Dodgers and St. Louis Cardinals have been entertaining so far. Yesterday, to kick off the series, the Dodgers suffered a 7-6 loss beginning the series 0-1.
That loss broke a seven-game winning streak that the Dodgers were on. In order to get back to winning, they've got to take down the Cardinals. However, this is much easier said than done.
The Cardinals have a record of 48-42 and rank second in the NL Central. Considering they're only a few games behind the Milwaukee Brewers, a win could send them to first place.
Tonight they'll likely have a tougher time beating the Dodgers, but it's not impossible. It'll take another strong scoring night as well. They also come in as significant underdogs at +129.
Los Angeles Dodgers: Extra insurance on the mound tonight
Perhaps the Dodgers underestimated the Cardinals' ability yesterday. By the second inning, the Dodgers were already down 3-0.
The problem was the Dodgers decided to start Mitch White, who had already struggled this season. White pitched five innings and gave up six runs throughout that time. By the end of the fourth inning, the Dodgers were down 6-0.
The Dodgers did well at rallying back, but it wasn't enough. Tonight, to add some extra insurance, Tony Gonsolin will get the start. Gonsolin is 11-0 as a starting pitcher with an ERA of 1.62 over the span of 88.2 innings.
With Gonsolin on the mound, the Dodgers are giving themselves the best chance to win. They also have the rest of the bullpen to rely on.
St. Louis Cardinals: A fast start is needed today as well
For the St. Louis Cardinals to get a win tonight, they'll need a fast start. Unfortunately, they're facing Tony Gonsolin, who doesn't give those out often. The good news is the batters for the Cardinals are among the top ten as a team.
In terms of batting average, the Cardinals as a team have a .251, ranking eighth. They rank 11th in slugging (.402) and on-base percentage (.318).
Pitching tonight for the Cardinals is the 6-7 Adam Wainwright. In terms of his win-loss record, it's clear that Gonsolin has the edge. However, it's important to note that Wainwright has pitched 105.2 innings compared to Gonsolin's 88.2.
His ERA of 3.15 isn't bad either, considering how many pitches he's thrown. The question is, will it be enough to get a win over the Dodgers?
Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick
The Dodgers are one of the best teams in baseball; there's no denying that. However, they have a 2-4 record on the road over their last six games.
To dig deeper into that, they're 2-8 in their last 10 when playing on the road against St. Louis. Even with Gonsolin on the mound, we'll take the Cardinals at +129.
The Cardinals are 6-0 in their last six games against opponents from the NL West. They have a 27-18 record at home and apparently know exactly how to beat the Dodgers.
We're going to take the under here as well, considering it'll be a close one. The total has gone under in six of the Cardinals' last seven games at home.
DunkelIndex Free Pick: St. Louis Cardinals +129, UNDER
Prop Picks
LA Dodgers (-120) UNDER 4.5 Runs
St. Louis is allowing 3.94 runs per 9 innings on defense, which ranks No. 7 in the league. That average drops to 3.53 runs per 9 innings at home. Scores have gone UNDER in each fo the Cardinals’ last six home games.
With Dunkel predicting a St. Louis victory by the score of 3-2, take the Dodgers (-120) to finish UNDER their Vegas team total of 4.5 runs against St. Louis.
Adam Wainwright (+120) OVER 4.5 Strikeouts
Wainwright has allowed 84 strikeouts in 105.2 innings pitched this season for an average of 7.2 Ks per 9 innings. That average increases to 7.8 Ks per 9 innings (46 Ks in 53.0 IP) at home
With Dunkel predicting a Cardinals win while holding the Dodgers UNDER their Vegas run total, take Wainwright (+120) to finish OVER 4.5 strikeouts versus Los Angeles.
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