Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies Betting Preview/Prop Picks
30 July 2022
The NL West is a tough division in Major League Baseball, and the Los Angeles Dodgers are at the top. With a record of 67-32 this season, the Dodgers have won three of their last five games.
Two of these wins were against the Colorado Rockies, the team that they'll play today. The question is, with two games left, can the Los Angeles Dodgers pull off another sweep?
The Colorado Rockies lost yesterday's game by a narrow margin. They had runners on two bases in the bottom of the ninth inning but were unable to bring them in. With their record falling to 45-56, the Rockies are the last place team in the NL West.
In order to increase their positioning, they'll need to get wins over big teams. Taking down the Dodgers would help a lot.
Los Angeles Dodgers: The pitching battle goes to LA
One of the toughest parts about facing the Dodgers is their wide array of pitchers. With guys like Julio Urias, Clayton Kershaw, and Walker Buehler in the lineup, your team's in trouble.
Getting the nod tonight is the 7-2 Clayton Kershaw, who has an ERA of 2.49 this season. It's a smart move for the Dodgers to start him because the Rockies batters are hitting well right now.
The other good news for the Dodgers is they have a strong batting group as well. Los Angeles has a batting average of .257, ranking third in Major League Baseball.
Leading the team is Freddie Freeman, who has a batting average of .319. With Freeman's average and Mookie Betts at 23 home runs, the Dodgers batters are red hot.
Colorado Rockies: The Rockies need to score first and often
The plan for this game should be pretty simple for the Rockies. They need to score first and often, putting pressure on Kershaw and the Dodgers. It's going to be hard to get Kershaw off of his game, but a few runs will help with that.
The Rockies will also need a lot of help from their starting pitcher, Kyle Freeland. Freeland has a record of 5-7 this season with a 4.64 ERA.
Pitching isn't the strong suit for the Colorado Rockies, but batting is. As a team, the Colorado Rockies rank second in Major League Baseball with a .261 batting average.
They have an on-base percentage of .325, ranking fourth overall. Along with that, they have players such as C.J. Cron, who has hit 22 home runs. If they put all of this together, the Rockies could win today.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies Betting Pick
Divisional games are always tough ones to call, especially in the NL West. Each team in the division has something they do rather well.
The Dodgers are starting one of the best pitchers in the game, but we've seen Kershaw struggle before. It's also important to note that the Rockies have beaten the Dodgers several times this season.
Because of this, we're going to go with the Colorado Rockies at +193. They have the batters to win them this game and nearly won last night as well.
If they can put it all together tonight, the Rockies will come away with a win. In four of the Rockies' last five games, the total has gone under, so we'll take that as well.
DunkelIndex Free Pick: Colorado Rockies +193, UNDER
Prop Picks
LA Dodgers (-105) UNDER 6.5 Runs
LA is averaging 5.21 runs per 9 innings on offense, which ranks No. 2 in the league. Colorado is allowing 5.34 runs per 9 innings on defense, which ranks No. 28 in the league. That average decreases to 4.90 runs per 9 innings over the Rockies' last 10 home games. Scores have gone UNDER in five of Colorado’s last six home games.
With Dunkel predicting a Colorado home victory by the score of 5-4, take the Dodgers (+105) to finish UNDER their Vegas team total of 6.5 runs against the Rockies.
Kyle Freeland (+100) UNDER 3.5 Earned Runs
Freeland has allowed 56 earned runs in 108.2 innings pitched this season for an ERA of 4.64, which ranks No. 1 among Rockies starters. The left hander’s ERA decreases to 3.78 (29 earned runs in 69.0 IP) in night games.
With Dunkel predicting the final score staying UNDER the Vegas total, take Freeland (+105) to finish UNDER 3.5 earned runs allowed versus the Dodgers.
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